Impacts of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Vietnamese Stock Market: New Evidence

This study investigates the impact of global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the Vietnamese stock market. By employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation method and a dataset of glo al and U.S. EPU and stock market indices in Vietnam from March 2011 to December 2024, this study is able to assess the relationship in both long and short terms. The findings show that both global and U.S. EPU have significant negative impacts on Vietnamese stock market indices in the long term. However, the global and U.S. EPU demonstrate significant positive impacts on the Vietnamese stock index for the largest 30 listed firms (VN30). Based on these findings, the authors can provide valuable policy recommendations to navigate the impact of global economic policy uncertainties on the Vietnamese stock market and foster sustainable development.

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Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-03-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15041627
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
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article

Impacts of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Vietnamese Stock Market: New Evidence

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Impacts of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Vietnamese Stock Market: New Evidence

article en

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of global economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the Vietnamese stock market. By employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) estimation method and a dataset of glo al and U.S. EPU and stock market indices in Vietnam from March 2011 to December 2024, this study is able to assess the relationship in both long and short terms. The findings show that both global and U.S. EPU have significant negative impacts on Vietnamese stock market indices in the long term. However, the global and U.S. EPU demonstrate significant positive impacts on the Vietnamese stock index for the largest 30 listed firms (VN30). Based on these findings, the authors can provide valuable policy recommendations to navigate the impact of global economic policy uncertainties on the Vietnamese stock market and foster sustainable development.

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
The State Bank of Vietnam (VN), Banking Academy of Vietnam
Partnerships for the goals
Openalex Percentile: Top 51%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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Impacts of Global Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Vietnamese Stock Market: New Evidence · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS