REBALANCE D4.2 Alternative narratives for the future of transport in Europe

This report describes the research and consultation activities carried out in the second phase of the scenario building process of REBALANCE (Task 4.2), and presents theresults achieved.Chapter 1 - Introduction sets the scene for the overall scenario building activities of the project.Chapter 2 – Critical Uncertainties describes how the key factors previously identified (D4.11) were ranked according to their relevance and to their predictability, leading to a set of 7 Critical Uncertainties that are expected to play a prominent role in shaping a new mobility culture.Chapter 3 – Scenario Framework describes how the evidence gathered in earlier stages of the project led to proposing a scenario framework (or scenario space) articulated around two main axes: “type of society” and “governance model”.Chapter 4 – Scenario validation provides an account of the expert and stakeholder consultation process that allowed to validate the framework and gather additionalinsights to help fleshing out the scenario narrativesChapter 5 – The REBALANCE Scenarios presents the narratives of the 4 REBALANCE Scenarios: Hercules - the myth of strength; Themis – the myth of justice; Gaia - the myth of interconnections; Hermes – the myth of speed.Chapter 6 – Way forward outlines the future activities to be carried out in WP4, culminating in the drafting of a Vision of future mobility cullture.