Earthquake Forecasting Dashboard: IFO (Ibaguner Fractal Operator) MPFF as the Universal Benchmark for Seismic Prediction

<p>The Ibaguner Fractal Operator (IFO=MPFF) establishes a new paradigm in earthquake prediction by integrating multi-parameter fractal dynamics (b-value, D fractal , stress-drop) into a real-time dashboard. Compared to 8 conventional methods (e.g., VAN, EQCM, AI-based approaches), IFO=MPFF achieves: • Lead time: 45-86 days (vs. ≤30 days for others) • Accuracy: 97% (vs. 40-75% for alternatives) • False alerts: 0.3/year (vs. 5-12/year) The dashboard's unified framework, validated across 23 M≥7.8 events (2000-2024), demonstrates universal applicability for collapse forecasting in complex systems.</p>

Publication Details

Journal
Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.13140/rg.2.2.32670.45126
Primary Topic
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Earthquake Forecasting Dashboard: IFO (Ibaguner Fractal Operator) MPFF as the Universal Benchmark for Seismic Prediction

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
article

Earthquake Forecasting Dashboard: IFO (Ibaguner Fractal Operator) MPFF as the Universal Benchmark for Seismic Prediction

article en

Abstract

<p>The Ibaguner Fractal Operator (IFO=MPFF) establishes a new paradigm in earthquake prediction by integrating multi-parameter fractal dynamics (b-value, D fractal , stress-drop) into a real-time dashboard. Compared to 8 conventional methods (e.g., VAN, EQCM, AI-based approaches), IFO=MPFF achieves: • Lead time: 45-86 days (vs. ≤30 days for others) • Accuracy: 97% (vs. 40-75% for alternatives) • False alerts: 0.3/year (vs. 5-12/year) The dashboard's unified framework, validated across 23 M≥7.8 events (2000-2024), demonstrates universal applicability for collapse forecasting in complex systems.</p>

Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)
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Earthquake Detection and Analysis
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Earthquake Forecasting Dashboard: IFO (Ibaguner Fractal Operator) MPFF as the Universal Benchmark for Seismic Prediction · Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research) (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS