Diagnosing systematic effects using the inferred initial power spectrum

The next generation of galaxy surveys has the potential to substantially deepen our understanding of the Universe. This potential hinges on our ability to rigorously address systematic uncertainties. Until now, diagnosing systematic effects prior to inferring cosmological parameters has been out of reach in field-based implicit likelihood cosmological inference frameworks. As a solution, we aim to diagnose a variety of systematic effects in galaxy surveys prior to inferring cosmological parameters, using the inferred power Our approach is built upon a two-step framework. First, we employed the selfi algorithm to infer the power which we utilised to thoroughly investigate the impact of systematic effects. This investigation relies on a single set of N-body simulations. Second, we obtained a posterior on cosmological parameters via implicit likelihood inference, recycling the simulations from the first step for data compression. As a demonstration, we relied on a model of large-scale spectroscopic galaxy surveys that incorporates fully non-linear gravitational evolution with cola and simulates multiple systematic effects encountered in real surveys. We provide a practical guide on how the selfi posterior can be used to assess the impact of misspecified galaxy bias parameters, selection functions, survey masks, inaccurate redshifts, and approximate gravity models on the inferred power . We show that a subtly misspecified model can lead to a bias exceeding $2σ$ in the $(Ω_ m σ_8)$ plane, which we are able to detect and avoid prior to inferring cosmological parameters. This framework has the potential to significantly enhance the robustness of physical information extraction from full forward models of large-scale galaxy surveys such as DESI Euclid and LSST.

Publication Details

Published
2025-05-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/202453416/pdf
Primary Topic
Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
Type
article
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article

Diagnosing systematic effects using the inferred initial power spectrum

Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
article

Diagnosing systematic effects using the inferred initial power spectrum

article en

Abstract

The next generation of galaxy surveys has the potential to substantially deepen our understanding of the Universe. This potential hinges on our ability to rigorously address systematic uncertainties. Until now, diagnosing systematic effects prior to inferring cosmological parameters has been out of reach in field-based implicit likelihood cosmological inference frameworks. As a solution, we aim to diagnose a variety of systematic effects in galaxy surveys prior to inferring cosmological parameters, using the inferred power Our approach is built upon a two-step framework. First, we employed the selfi algorithm to infer the power which we utilised to thoroughly investigate the impact of systematic effects. This investigation relies on a single set of N-body simulations. Second, we obtained a posterior on cosmological parameters via implicit likelihood inference, recycling the simulations from the first step for data compression. As a demonstration, we relied on a model of large-scale spectroscopic galaxy surveys that incorporates fully non-linear gravitational evolution with cola and simulates multiple systematic effects encountered in real surveys. We provide a practical guide on how the selfi posterior can be used to assess the impact of misspecified galaxy bias parameters, selection functions, survey masks, inaccurate redshifts, and approximate gravity models on the inferred power . We show that a subtly misspecified model can lead to a bias exceeding $2σ$ in the $(Ω_ m σ_8)$ plane, which we are able to detect and avoid prior to inferring cosmological parameters. This framework has the potential to significantly enhance the robustness of physical information extraction from full forward models of large-scale galaxy surveys such as DESI Euclid and LSST.

Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Galaxies: Formation, Evolution, Phenomena
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