EXPLAINING PENSION TRENDS AND RECENT PENSION PERFORMANCE

Due to significant unfunded liabilities, many employer-sponsored retirement plans both domestically and internationally are shifting away from defined benefit (DB) pension plans to defined contribution (DC) plans. This is especially the case in private industry. Many expected that the COVID-19 pandemic would cause the funding status of DB plans to worsen. However, the opposite occurred. This is primarily due to decreased life expectancies and improved financial market performance. We utilize a 2004-2021 dataset that contains state level GDP, revenue, pension, and life expectancy data to study U.S. state DB pension plans. We are able to explain over 80% of the variability of pension funding status. Despite the recently improved funding status of DB plans, they remain underfunded. The overall trend away from DB retirement plans and toward the use of DC plans is likely to continue.