Physics-Informed Temperature Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Decomposition-Enhanced LSTM and BiLSTM Models

Accurately forecasting the operating temperature of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is essential for preventing thermal runaway, extending service life, and ensuring the safe operation of electric vehicles and stationary energy-storage systems. This work introduces a unified, physics-informed, and data-driven temperature-prediction framework that integrates mathematically governed preprocessing, electrothermal decomposition, and sequential deep learning architectures. The methodology systematically applies the governing relations to convert raw temperature measurements into trend, seasonal, and residual components, thereby isolating long-term thermal accumulation, reversible entropy-driven oscillations, and irreversible resistive heating. These physically interpretable signatures serve as structured inputs to machine learning and deep learning models trained on temporally segmented temperature sequences. Among all evaluated predictors, the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network achieved the highest prediction fidelity, yielding an RMSE of 0.018 °C, a 35.7% improvement over the conventional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) (RMSE = 0.028 °C) due to its ability to simultaneously encode forward and backward temporal dependencies inherent in cyclic electrochemical operation. While CatBoost exhibited the strongest performance among classical regressors (RMSE = 0.022 °C), outperforming Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regression, XGBoost, and LightGBM, it remained inferior to BiLSTM because it lacks the capacity to represent bidirectional electrothermal dynamics. This performance hierarchy confirms that LIB thermal evolution is not dictated solely by historical load sequences; it also depends on forthcoming cycling patterns and entropic interactions, which unidirectional and memoryless models cannot capture. The resulting hybrid physics-data-driven framework provides a reliable surrogate for real-time LIB thermal estimation and can be directly embedded within BMS to enable proactive intervention strategies such as predictive cooling activation, current derating, and early detection of hazardous thermal conditions. By coupling physics-based decomposition with deep sequential learning, this study establishes a validated foundation for next-generation LIB thermal-management platforms and identifies a clear trajectory for future work extending the methodology to module- and pack-level systems suitable for industrial deployment.

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Publication Details

Journal
World Electric Vehicle Journal
Published
2025-12-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/wevj17010002
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.05

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article

Physics-Informed Temperature Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Decomposition-Enhanced LSTM and BiLSTM Models

Michael William Fowler, Yasmin Shabeer, Carlos Ziebert, Seyed Saeed Madani et al.
3 citations
World Electric Vehicle Journal
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
2.05
article

Physics-Informed Temperature Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Using Decomposition-Enhanced LSTM and BiLSTM Models

Michael William Fowler, Yasmin Shabeer, Carlos Ziebert, Seyed Saeed Madani, Satyam Panchal, François Allard, Hicham Chaoui
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Accurately forecasting the operating temperature of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is essential for preventing thermal runaway, extending service life, and ensuring the safe operation of electric vehicles and stationary energy-storage systems. This work introduces a unified, physics-informed, and data-driven temperature-prediction framework that integrates mathematically governed preprocessing, electrothermal decomposition, and sequential deep learning architectures. The methodology systematically applies the governing relations to convert raw temperature measurements into trend, seasonal, and residual components, thereby isolating long-term thermal accumulation, reversible entropy-driven oscillations, and irreversible resistive heating. These physically interpretable signatures serve as structured inputs to machine learning and deep learning models trained on temporally segmented temperature sequences. Among all evaluated predictors, the Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) network achieved the highest prediction fidelity, yielding an RMSE of 0.018 °C, a 35.7% improvement over the conventional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) (RMSE = 0.028 °C) due to its ability to simultaneously encode forward and backward temporal dependencies inherent in cyclic electrochemical operation. While CatBoost exhibited the strongest performance among classical regressors (RMSE = 0.022 °C), outperforming Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Regression, XGBoost, and LightGBM, it remained inferior to BiLSTM because it lacks the capacity to represent bidirectional electrothermal dynamics. This performance hierarchy confirms that LIB thermal evolution is not dictated solely by historical load sequences; it also depends on forthcoming cycling patterns and entropic interactions, which unidirectional and memoryless models cannot capture. The resulting hybrid physics-data-driven framework provides a reliable surrogate for real-time LIB thermal estimation and can be directly embedded within BMS to enable proactive intervention strategies such as predictive cooling activation, current derating, and early detection of hazardous thermal conditions. By coupling physics-based decomposition with deep sequential learning, this study establishes a validated foundation for next-generation LIB thermal-management platforms and identifies a clear trajectory for future work extending the methodology to module- and pack-level systems suitable for industrial deployment.

World Electric Vehicle JournalVol. 17(1)
Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (DE), University of Waterloo (CA), Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (CA), Carleton University (CA), Old Dominion University (US)
Center of Excellence for Learning in Education, Science and Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 12%
Advanced Battery Technologies Research
2.05
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