Human Influence on Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Changes Over the <scp>T</scp> ibetan <scp>P</scp> lateau

ABSTRACT In the past decades, the Tibetan Plateau has experienced rapid warming, accompanied by marked differences in seasonal extreme precipitation change. However, research focusing on the impact of human activities on the seasonal extreme precipitation is still limited. In this study, we employ different observations and CMIP6 models to investigate the relevant issue based on an optimal fingerprinting method. We found that both station data and ERA5 reanalysis data show similar detection results. In one‐signal analyses, the anthropogenic signal can be detected in the increasing trends of maximum 1‐day precipitation amount (Rx1day) and maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation amount (Rx5day) in spring and winter but not in other seasons, whereas the signal of natural forcing cannot be detected in Rx1day and Rx5day changes during these two seasons. In two‐signal analyses, human activities on extreme precipitation changes over the Tibetan Plateau are noticeable during both spring and winter, with the human influence being more pronounced in spring. This study thus provides important evidence for human influences on the seasonal change of extreme precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Climatology
Published
2025-12-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.70234
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
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article

Human Influence on Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Changes Over the T ibetan P lateau

Guowei Yang, Siyan Dong, Ying Sun, Hong Yin
International Journal of Climatology
Climate variability and models
article

Human Influence on Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Changes Over the T ibetan P lateau

Guowei Yang, Siyan Dong, Ying Sun, Hong Yin
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT In the past decades, the Tibetan Plateau has experienced rapid warming, accompanied by marked differences in seasonal extreme precipitation change. However, research focusing on the impact of human activities on the seasonal extreme precipitation is still limited. In this study, we employ different observations and CMIP6 models to investigate the relevant issue based on an optimal fingerprinting method. We found that both station data and ERA5 reanalysis data show similar detection results. In one‐signal analyses, the anthropogenic signal can be detected in the increasing trends of maximum 1‐day precipitation amount (Rx1day) and maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation amount (Rx5day) in spring and winter but not in other seasons, whereas the signal of natural forcing cannot be detected in Rx1day and Rx5day changes during these two seasons. In two‐signal analyses, human activities on extreme precipitation changes over the Tibetan Plateau are noticeable during both spring and winter, with the human influence being more pronounced in spring. This study thus provides important evidence for human influences on the seasonal change of extreme precipitation over the Tibetan Plateau.

International Journal of ClimatologyVol. 46(3)
China Meteorological Administration (CN), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 62%
Climate variability and models
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Human Influence on Seasonal Extreme Precipitation Changes Over the <scp>T</scp> ibetan <scp>P</scp> lateau — Guowei Yang, Siyan Dong, et al. · International Journal of Climatology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS