Regionalized Assessment of Urban Lake Ecosystem Health in China: A Novel Framework Integrating Hybrid Weighting and Adaptive Indicators

Urban lakes are essential for ecological balance and urban development. This study developed a comprehensive framework to evaluate the ecosystem health of urban lakes in China. Nineteen representative lakes from four lake zones were examined using three decades of remote-sensing data combined with hydrological, water-quality, and aquatic–biological investigations. An extended DPSIR model guided the selection of 52 indicators, and a hierarchical weighting scheme was used: the analytic hierarchy process determined criterion-level weights, while principal component analysis with Softmax normalization was used for indicator-level weights. The established index system was applied to Xuanwu Lake and Erhai Lake, and an obstacle-degree model was used to identify key ecological constraints from 2010 to 2020. Results showed that urban lakes in the Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau and Eastern Plain zones were mainly constrained by eutrophication and intensive urbanization, with state- and impact-related indicators contributing most to the health index. The framework captured the decline of Xuanwu Lake, driven by poor water exchange and external nutrient loading, and its subsequent improvement following governance interventions, as well as the post-2014 degradation of Erhai Lake driven by climate-induced hydrological stress and non-point source pollution, providing a practical tool for diagnosing constraints and supporting adaptive, region-specific lake management.