Investigating financial reporting quality in the Egyptian banking industry in the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods using Benford’s law

Purpose This study aims to examine the financial reporting quality (FRQ) of the Egyptian banking sector before and after the COVID-19 pandemic using Benford’s law (BL). Design/methodology/approach This study analyzes the annual and quarterly financial reports (balance sheet and income statement) of Egyptian-listed commercial banks from 2016 to 2023 by performing the first- and second-leading digit tests of BL. Z-statistic and mean absolute deviation (MAD) are used to assess the statistical significance of deviations from the BL distribution. Additional analysis is conducted using the CAMELS framework. Findings The results reveal that financial reporting figures of Egyptian-listed commercial banks conform to BL during both the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods, providing no evidence of systemic earnings manipulation, such as cosmetic earnings management across the banks analyzed during those periods. The post-COVID MAD value for the income statement exceeded its pre-COVID level marginally; however, both values remained below the nonconformity threshold, signifying acceptable adherence to BL. This suggests that the observed variation represents typical fluctuations rather than an indication of systematic manipulation, demonstrating a reasonable level of transparency and reliability in financial reporting practices. The findings suggest that the effectiveness of the regulatory environment and corporate governance mechanisms in the Egyptian banking sector may have contributed to enhancing financial integrity, especially during periods of crisis. Originality/value This study adds new empirical evidence, using BL, to address the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the FRQ of listed Egyptian banks. The findings expand on existing research by demonstrating the evolution of reporting practices during crises in a highly regulated sector in an emerging market. In addition, the study has significant implications for regulators, auditors, investors and multiple stakeholders by providing an effective and simple measure to detect earnings management in the banking industry.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of financial reporting & accounting
Published
2025-11-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1108/jfra-01-2025-0021
Primary Topic
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
Type
article
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article

Investigating financial reporting quality in the Egyptian banking industry in the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods using Benford’s law

Frendy Frendy, Sara H. Sabry, Hosam Mohamed Ragab Moubarak, Ahmed Zamel et al.
Journal of financial reporting & accounting
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
article

Investigating financial reporting quality in the Egyptian banking industry in the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods using Benford’s law

Frendy Frendy, Sara H. Sabry, Hosam Mohamed Ragab Moubarak, Ahmed Zamel, Ahmed Aboelfotoh, Ahmad Abd El Salam Abu-Musa
article en

Abstract

Purpose This study aims to examine the financial reporting quality (FRQ) of the Egyptian banking sector before and after the COVID-19 pandemic using Benford’s law (BL). Design/methodology/approach This study analyzes the annual and quarterly financial reports (balance sheet and income statement) of Egyptian-listed commercial banks from 2016 to 2023 by performing the first- and second-leading digit tests of BL. Z-statistic and mean absolute deviation (MAD) are used to assess the statistical significance of deviations from the BL distribution. Additional analysis is conducted using the CAMELS framework. Findings The results reveal that financial reporting figures of Egyptian-listed commercial banks conform to BL during both the pre- and post-COVID-19 periods, providing no evidence of systemic earnings manipulation, such as cosmetic earnings management across the banks analyzed during those periods. The post-COVID MAD value for the income statement exceeded its pre-COVID level marginally; however, both values remained below the nonconformity threshold, signifying acceptable adherence to BL. This suggests that the observed variation represents typical fluctuations rather than an indication of systematic manipulation, demonstrating a reasonable level of transparency and reliability in financial reporting practices. The findings suggest that the effectiveness of the regulatory environment and corporate governance mechanisms in the Egyptian banking sector may have contributed to enhancing financial integrity, especially during periods of crisis. Originality/value This study adds new empirical evidence, using BL, to address the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the FRQ of listed Egyptian banks. The findings expand on existing research by demonstrating the evolution of reporting practices during crises in a highly regulated sector in an emerging market. In addition, the study has significant implications for regulators, auditors, investors and multiple stakeholders by providing an effective and simple measure to detect earnings management in the banking industry.

Journal of financial reporting & accounting
Nagoya University of Commerce and Business (JP), Zagazig University (EG), Tanta University (EG), Egypt-Japan University of Science and Technology (EG), Assiut University (EG)
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Benford’s Law and Fraud Detection
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