Heat and Mass Transfer Model for Fire-Exposed Concrete — Part B: Validation of Mass Loss and Temperature Predictions

Abstract Explosive spalling of concrete is an essential phenomenon to be accounted for when analyzing the fire performance of concrete structures. Existing tools of fire simulation can provide the fire exposure on concrete surface, and to some extent, conjugate heat transfer too, but new tools are needed for modelling the concrete high-temperature reactions coupled with heat and mass transfer. In this second part of the two-part article, we characterize two concrete mixtures regarding their high-temperature reactions using TGA and DSC experiments and measure their porosities, permeabilities, and thermal conductivities. We measure sample temperatures and mass loss under radiative heating in two different scales and at two different moisture levels. The experimental data is then used to validate the numerical model with a kinetics-driven evaporation rate. The model predicts mass loss with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) typically $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 0.3 % and $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 1.9 % in the worst case. For temperature increase, typical MAPE $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 15 % and maximum MAPE $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 25 %. The model bias and relative standard deviation are +8.4 % and 3.7 % for mass loss, and +5.0 % and 4.4 % for temperature. We then introduce an improved version of the model with pressure-constrained evaporation rate. The model improves the pore pressure predictions, but maintaining the accuracy of mass loss and temperature predictions would require re-calibration of the kinetic parameters. A sensitivity study is used to identify future topics of model improvement and data gathering.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
Published
2025-12-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s40069-025-00860-7
Primary Topic
Fire effects on concrete materials
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Heat and Mass Transfer Model for Fire-Exposed Concrete — Part B: Validation of Mass Loss and Temperature Predictions

Bjarne Husted, Xujuan Wu, Frank Markert, Abhishek Bhargava et al.
International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
Fire effects on concrete materials
article

Heat and Mass Transfer Model for Fire-Exposed Concrete — Part B: Validation of Mass Loss and Temperature Predictions

Bjarne Husted, Xujuan Wu, Frank Markert, Abhishek Bhargava, Simo Hostikka, Xi Deng, Kaiyuan Li, N.G. Patil, Christian Riitamaa
article en

Abstract

Abstract Explosive spalling of concrete is an essential phenomenon to be accounted for when analyzing the fire performance of concrete structures. Existing tools of fire simulation can provide the fire exposure on concrete surface, and to some extent, conjugate heat transfer too, but new tools are needed for modelling the concrete high-temperature reactions coupled with heat and mass transfer. In this second part of the two-part article, we characterize two concrete mixtures regarding their high-temperature reactions using TGA and DSC experiments and measure their porosities, permeabilities, and thermal conductivities. We measure sample temperatures and mass loss under radiative heating in two different scales and at two different moisture levels. The experimental data is then used to validate the numerical model with a kinetics-driven evaporation rate. The model predicts mass loss with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) typically $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 0.3 % and $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 1.9 % in the worst case. For temperature increase, typical MAPE $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 15 % and maximum MAPE $$\le$$ <mml:math xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <mml:mo>≤</mml:mo> </mml:math> 25 %. The model bias and relative standard deviation are +8.4 % and 3.7 % for mass loss, and +5.0 % and 4.4 % for temperature. We then introduce an improved version of the model with pressure-constrained evaporation rate. The model improves the pore pressure predictions, but maintaining the accuracy of mass loss and temperature predictions would require re-calibration of the kinetic parameters. A sensitivity study is used to identify future topics of model improvement and data gathering.

International Journal of Concrete Structures and MaterialsVol. 19(1)
Wuhan University of Technology (CN), Danish Institute of Fire and Security Technology (DK), Technical University of Denmark (DK), Aalto University (FI)
Palosuojelurahasto, National Natural Science Foundation of China, Aalto-Yliopisto, Danmarks Tekniske Universitet, Nordic Energy Research, Wuhan University, Wuhan University of Technology
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Fire effects on concrete materials
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