Can the Reconstruction of Agro-Pastoral Relations Optimize the Capacity for Sustainable Agricultural Development? Evidence from Jilin Province, China

The long-standing separation of agro-pastoral relations has adversely affected the agricultural economy and ecology, hindering sustainable agricultural development. The process of reconstructing agro-pastoral relations involves moving from separation to reintegration. To further verify the scientific validity of reconstructing agro-pastoral relations to improve economic and ecological benefits and enhance the capacity for sustainable agricultural development in the major corn-producing areas of Northeast China, this study used survey data from 521 sample farmers in Jilin Province, China, collected during the agricultural production cycle from 2020 to 2022. Using an endogenous switching regression (ESR) model and a counterfactual scenario, the integrated crop–livestock family farm (ICFF) model was shown to have a comparative advantage in improving economic and ecological benefits. The ICFF model can serve as a foundation for reconstructing agro-pastoral relations, thereby enhancing sustainable agricultural development capacity. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that larger-scale cultivated land, intensive cultivated land management, and higher education have a more significant impact on farmers’ choice of the ICFF model. To promote the restructuring of agro-pastoral relations through the ICFF model, farmers should be encouraged and supported to standardize the transfer of farmland, engage in livestock farming according to the principle of land-based livestock management, implement large-scale and intensive management, improve agricultural production technologies and improved varieties, strengthen publicity on the positive role of integrated crop-livestock management, and improve the financial support system.