Bayesian Updating for Stochastic Processes in Infinite-Dimensional Normed Vector Spaces

In this paper, we introduce a generalized framework for conditional probability in stochastic processes taking values in infinite-dimensional normed spaces. Classical definitions, based on measurability with respect to a conditioning σ-algebra, become inadequate when the available information is restricted to a σ-algebra generated by a finite or countable family of random variables. In such settings, many events of interest are not measurable with respect to the conditioning σ-field, preventing the standard definition of conditional probability. To overcome this limitation, we propose an extension of the coherent conditioning model through the use of Hausdorff measures. The key idea is to exploit the non-equivalence of norms in infinite-dimensional spaces, which gives rise to distinct metric structures and corresponding Hausdorff dimensions for the same events. Conditional probabilities are then defined relative to families of Hausdorff outer measures parameterized by their dimensional exponents. This geometric reformulation allows the notion of conditionality to depend explicitly on the underlying metric and topological properties of the space. The resulting model provides a flexible and coherent framework for analyzing conditioning in infinite-dimensional stochastic systems, with potential implications for Bayesian inference in functional spaces.

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Journal
Axioms
Published
2025-12-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/axioms14120927
Primary Topic
Statistical Mechanics and Entropy
Type
article
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article

Bayesian Updating for Stochastic Processes in Infinite-Dimensional Normed Vector Spaces

Serena Doria
Axioms
Statistical Mechanics and Entropy
article

Bayesian Updating for Stochastic Processes in Infinite-Dimensional Normed Vector Spaces

Serena Doria
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce a generalized framework for conditional probability in stochastic processes taking values in infinite-dimensional normed spaces. Classical definitions, based on measurability with respect to a conditioning σ-algebra, become inadequate when the available information is restricted to a σ-algebra generated by a finite or countable family of random variables. In such settings, many events of interest are not measurable with respect to the conditioning σ-field, preventing the standard definition of conditional probability. To overcome this limitation, we propose an extension of the coherent conditioning model through the use of Hausdorff measures. The key idea is to exploit the non-equivalence of norms in infinite-dimensional spaces, which gives rise to distinct metric structures and corresponding Hausdorff dimensions for the same events. Conditional probabilities are then defined relative to families of Hausdorff outer measures parameterized by their dimensional exponents. This geometric reformulation allows the notion of conditionality to depend explicitly on the underlying metric and topological properties of the space. The resulting model provides a flexible and coherent framework for analyzing conditioning in infinite-dimensional stochastic systems, with potential implications for Bayesian inference in functional spaces.

AxiomsVol. 14(12)
University of Chieti-Pescara (IT)
Openalex Percentile: Top 67%
Statistical Mechanics and Entropy
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