Complexity analyses of geomagnetic and solar activity indices time series

The universal properties of the geomagnetic/solar indices critically describe their time series' dynamics. Here, we investigate the complexity behavior of the time series of the geomagnetic and solar activity indices Kp, DST, Ap, F10.7, [Formula: see text], AE, AL, AU, pc, and R. To do this, we apply multiscale entropy (MSE) analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), rescaled range (R/S) test, and visibility graph (VG) to the time series of indices recorded daily from January 1st, 1996 to January 1st, 2020. MSE analysis reveals that AE exhibits the lowest entropy (minimal complexity), followed by F10.7, [Formula: see text], and R. Ap shows intermediate complexity, while AL, Dst, AU, and pc maintain higher entropy values. The range of Hurst exponents between 0.5 and 1 extracted from DFA and R/S analyses confirms the long-term memory of geomagnetic indices. In contrast, solar activity indices exhibit Hurst exponents consistent with pink noise or non-stationarity. VG analysis identifies AU, Dst, pc, and Kp as possessing "small-world" characteristics-corroborating strong long-range correlations. Synthesized results indicate that the indices Kp, Dst, AL, AU, and pc exhibit stronger evidence of long-term correlated memory, while the solar indices, along with the geomagnetic index AE, are comparatively suitable for studying transient phenomena.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-12-17
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-27654-x
Primary Topic
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Complexity analyses of geomagnetic and solar activity indices time series

Mehdi Yousefzadeh, Saeid Mollaei, Mohsen Javaherian, H. Moradpour et al.
Scientific Reports
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
article

Complexity analyses of geomagnetic and solar activity indices time series

Mehdi Yousefzadeh, Saeid Mollaei, Mohsen Javaherian, H. Moradpour, Neda Zolghadr
article en

Abstract

The universal properties of the geomagnetic/solar indices critically describe their time series' dynamics. Here, we investigate the complexity behavior of the time series of the geomagnetic and solar activity indices Kp, DST, Ap, F10.7, [Formula: see text], AE, AL, AU, pc, and R. To do this, we apply multiscale entropy (MSE) analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), rescaled range (R/S) test, and visibility graph (VG) to the time series of indices recorded daily from January 1st, 1996 to January 1st, 2020. MSE analysis reveals that AE exhibits the lowest entropy (minimal complexity), followed by F10.7, [Formula: see text], and R. Ap shows intermediate complexity, while AL, Dst, AU, and pc maintain higher entropy values. The range of Hurst exponents between 0.5 and 1 extracted from DFA and R/S analyses confirms the long-term memory of geomagnetic indices. In contrast, solar activity indices exhibit Hurst exponents consistent with pink noise or non-stationarity. VG analysis identifies AU, Dst, pc, and Kp as possessing "small-world" characteristics-corroborating strong long-range correlations. Synthesized results indicate that the indices Kp, Dst, AL, AU, and pc exhibit stronger evidence of long-term correlated memory, while the solar indices, along with the geomagnetic index AE, are comparatively suitable for studying transient phenomena.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
University of Maragheh (IR), Institut des Sciences Moléculaires (FR), Research Institute for Astronomy and Astrophysics of Maragh (IR), University of Zanjan (IR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
Earthquake Detection and Analysis
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