Habitat and Haplotype‐Specific Genetic Vulnerability Analysis Combined With a Multidimensional Scoring System Provides a New Insight for Conservation Prioritization of <i>Ephedra przewalskii</i>

<i>Ephedra przewalskii</i> is a key species in arid regions recognized for its remarkable ecological, economic, and medicinal importance. However, climate change and anthropogenic activities have severely threatened their survival, reduced genetic diversity, and increased the risk of extinction. Nonclimatic variables lack systematic integration in current modeling frameworks, and intraspecific genetic variation is similarly poorly explored. This study assessed the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of <i>E. przewalskii</i> populations by applying ensemble species distribution models (ESDMs) and Climate-Niche Factor Analysis (CNFA), incorporating climate scenarios and human activity data. Additionally, we calculated the haplotype genetic vulnerability and constructed a multidimensional scoring system that combined habitat and genetic vulnerabilities. High vulnerability was observed in regions such as Nilka County and Hotan, whereas regions such as the Ejina Banner-Hami-Heiying Mountain-Jiuquan range area exhibited reduced vulnerability for <i>E. przewalskii</i>. The habitat vulnerability decreased over time under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1-2.6 (SSP1-2.6) but significantly increased by the 2090s under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5). Haplotypes G, E, and A were identified as being at high risk for genetic diversity loss under SSP5-8.5. Application of the multidimensional scoring system successfully identified and prioritized key conservation hotspots-including populations in Wuheshalu, Qiemo, and Ruoqian (Tarim Basin) as well as Karamay, Wuchang, and Burqin (Junggar Basin)-based on their high haplotype diversity and vulnerability. The approach thereby offers an adaptable framework for vulnerability assessment and supporting broader conservation efforts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ecology and Evolution
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.72614
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Habitat and Haplotype‐Specific Genetic Vulnerability Analysis Combined With a Multidimensional Scoring System Provides a New Insight for Conservation Prioritization of Ephedra przewalskii

Xiulian Chi, Xiaolin Li, Guang Yang, Meng Cheng et al.
Ecology and Evolution
Species Distribution and Climate Change
article

Habitat and Haplotype‐Specific Genetic Vulnerability Analysis Combined With a Multidimensional Scoring System Provides a New Insight for Conservation Prioritization of Ephedra przewalskii

Xiulian Chi, Xiaolin Li, Guang Yang, Meng Cheng, Qiang Ma, Ying Li, Liwei Wang, Kai Sun, Hongchao Wang
article en

Abstract

<i>Ephedra przewalskii</i> is a key species in arid regions recognized for its remarkable ecological, economic, and medicinal importance. However, climate change and anthropogenic activities have severely threatened their survival, reduced genetic diversity, and increased the risk of extinction. Nonclimatic variables lack systematic integration in current modeling frameworks, and intraspecific genetic variation is similarly poorly explored. This study assessed the vulnerability and adaptive capacity of <i>E. przewalskii</i> populations by applying ensemble species distribution models (ESDMs) and Climate-Niche Factor Analysis (CNFA), incorporating climate scenarios and human activity data. Additionally, we calculated the haplotype genetic vulnerability and constructed a multidimensional scoring system that combined habitat and genetic vulnerabilities. High vulnerability was observed in regions such as Nilka County and Hotan, whereas regions such as the Ejina Banner-Hami-Heiying Mountain-Jiuquan range area exhibited reduced vulnerability for <i>E. przewalskii</i>. The habitat vulnerability decreased over time under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 1-2.6 (SSP1-2.6) but significantly increased by the 2090s under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5). Haplotypes G, E, and A were identified as being at high risk for genetic diversity loss under SSP5-8.5. Application of the multidimensional scoring system successfully identified and prioritized key conservation hotspots-including populations in Wuheshalu, Qiemo, and Ruoqian (Tarim Basin) as well as Karamay, Wuchang, and Burqin (Junggar Basin)-based on their high haplotype diversity and vulnerability. The approach thereby offers an adaptable framework for vulnerability assessment and supporting broader conservation efforts.

Ecology and EvolutionVol. 15(12)
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College (CN), China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
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