The Impact of Derivative Use on Default Probability Among Nonfinancial Firms: Evidence From European Firms

ABSTRACT This paper examines how institutional environments shape the effectiveness of derivative hedging in reducing corporate default risk. Using hand‐collected data from non‐financial firms across nine European countries and various econometric methods to control for endogeneity, we provide novel evidence that the risk‐reducing benefits of derivative usage are significantly enhanced in stronger creditor rights settings. Additionally, we document that the default risk‐reducing effect of derivatives diminishes in countries with lower economic risk. We also find that for firms in severe financial distress, hedging does not reduce default likelihood. Regarding types of derivatives, we show that interest rate derivatives have a stronger default risk‐reducing effect than foreign exchange and commodity derivatives.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Futures Markets
Published
2025-12-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.70071
Primary Topic
Risk Management in Financial Firms
Type
article
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article

The Impact of Derivative Use on Default Probability Among Nonfinancial Firms: Evidence From European Firms

Kim Cuong Ly, Amrit Judge, Khai Le
Journal of Futures Markets
Risk Management in Financial Firms
article

The Impact of Derivative Use on Default Probability Among Nonfinancial Firms: Evidence From European Firms

Kim Cuong Ly, Amrit Judge, Khai Le
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper examines how institutional environments shape the effectiveness of derivative hedging in reducing corporate default risk. Using hand‐collected data from non‐financial firms across nine European countries and various econometric methods to control for endogeneity, we provide novel evidence that the risk‐reducing benefits of derivative usage are significantly enhanced in stronger creditor rights settings. Additionally, we document that the default risk‐reducing effect of derivatives diminishes in countries with lower economic risk. We also find that for firms in severe financial distress, hedging does not reduce default likelihood. Regarding types of derivatives, we show that interest rate derivatives have a stronger default risk‐reducing effect than foreign exchange and commodity derivatives.

Journal of Futures MarketsVol. 46(3)
University of Nottingham (GB), Regent's University London (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 45%
Risk Management in Financial Firms
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