Reframing the fragility index as bias analysis: sensitivity analysis, <i>P-</i> values, parameterizations, and confidence intervals

The fragility index is generally presented as a metric to assess how sensitive the passing of a particular p-value threshold is to the number of changes in event status. In many cases, the "statistical significance" of a result may be quite fragile. An alternative interpretation of the fragility index is proposed that reframes it as a sensitivity analysis or bias analysis for particular forms of misclassification. The reframing also makes clear the comparative relevance of different analogues of the fragility index for survival data, such as that proposed by Xing, et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 0000;000(00):0000-0000) and others, and further moves away from more dichotomous interpretations concerning p-value thresholds.

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Publication Details

Journal
American Journal of Epidemiology
Published
2025-12-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwaf276
Primary Topic
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Reframing the fragility index as bias analysis: sensitivity analysis, P- values, parameterizations, and confidence intervals

Tyler J. VanderWeele
American Journal of Epidemiology
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Reframing the fragility index as bias analysis: sensitivity analysis, P- values, parameterizations, and confidence intervals

Tyler J. VanderWeele
article en

Abstract

The fragility index is generally presented as a metric to assess how sensitive the passing of a particular p-value threshold is to the number of changes in event status. In many cases, the "statistical significance" of a result may be quite fragile. An alternative interpretation of the fragility index is proposed that reframes it as a sensitivity analysis or bias analysis for particular forms of misclassification. The reframing also makes clear the comparative relevance of different analogues of the fragility index for survival data, such as that proposed by Xing, et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 0000;000(00):0000-0000) and others, and further moves away from more dichotomous interpretations concerning p-value thresholds.

American Journal of Epidemiology
Harvard University (US), Cancer Research And Biostatistics (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 48%
Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
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