Electrifying long-haul freight trucks reduces societal costs in the United States
Electrifying long-haul heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) entails high private costs but offers substantial reductions in external costs by substituting diesel combustion with electricity generation. We combine technoeconomic analysis and life-cycle assessment of lithium-ion battery electric (BE) and diesel HDVs to estimate total private costs and monetized climate and health damages in the United States. In 2025, BE-HDVs are estimated to have 46% higher private costs ($0.71 mile⁻¹) than diesel trucks, decreasing to 33% ($0.52 mile⁻¹) by 2035. However, their external costs are 64-69% lower in 2025 and 70-80% lower in 2035. Overall, BE-HDVs yield positive net societal benefits by 2035, contingent on policies that accelerate their adoption.
Authors
- Fan Tong
- Corinne Donahue Scown (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2078-1126)
- Scott Jason Moura (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6393-4375)
- Jason Porzio (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-5650-1567)
- Maximilian Auffhammer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1941-6132)
- Wilson H. McNeil
Institutions
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- Inner Mongolia University (CN)
- Energy Biosciences Institute (US)
- Beihang University (CN)
- University of California, Berkeley (US)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Communications
- Published
- 2025-12-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67161-1
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.73