Electrifying long-haul freight trucks reduces societal costs in the United States

Electrifying long-haul heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) entails high private costs but offers substantial reductions in external costs by substituting diesel combustion with electricity generation. We combine technoeconomic analysis and life-cycle assessment of lithium-ion battery electric (BE) and diesel HDVs to estimate total private costs and monetized climate and health damages in the United States. In 2025, BE-HDVs are estimated to have 46% higher private costs ($0.71 mile⁻¹) than diesel trucks, decreasing to 33% ($0.52 mile⁻¹) by 2035. However, their external costs are 64-69% lower in 2025 and 70-80% lower in 2035. Overall, BE-HDVs yield positive net societal benefits by 2035, contingent on policies that accelerate their adoption.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-12-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67161-1
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73
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article

Electrifying long-haul freight trucks reduces societal costs in the United States

Fan Tong, Corinne Donahue Scown, Scott Jason Moura, Jason Porzio et al.
1 citations
Nature Communications
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
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article

Electrifying long-haul freight trucks reduces societal costs in the United States

Fan Tong, Corinne Donahue Scown, Scott Jason Moura, Jason Porzio, Maximilian Auffhammer, Wilson H. McNeil
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Electrifying long-haul heavy-duty vehicles (HDVs) entails high private costs but offers substantial reductions in external costs by substituting diesel combustion with electricity generation. We combine technoeconomic analysis and life-cycle assessment of lithium-ion battery electric (BE) and diesel HDVs to estimate total private costs and monetized climate and health damages in the United States. In 2025, BE-HDVs are estimated to have 46% higher private costs ($0.71 mile⁻¹) than diesel trucks, decreasing to 33% ($0.52 mile⁻¹) by 2035. However, their external costs are 64-69% lower in 2025 and 70-80% lower in 2035. Overall, BE-HDVs yield positive net societal benefits by 2035, contingent on policies that accelerate their adoption.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 17(1)
National Bureau of Economic Research (US), Inner Mongolia University (CN), Energy Biosciences Institute (US), Beihang University (CN), University of California, Berkeley (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 21%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
0.73
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