Implementation and Evaluation of Emission‐Driven Land‐Atmosphere Coupled Simulation in E3SMv2.1

Abstract Emissions‐driven (prognostic CO 2 ) simulations are essential for representing two‐way carbon‐climate feedback in Earth System Models. We present an emissions‐driven land–atmosphere coupled biogeochemistry (BGC) configuration (BGCLNDATM_progCO2) in version 2.1 of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv2.1). This is the first E3SM configuration that performs land‐atmosphere emission‐hindcasts. Here, we document its implementation, evaluate the model's performance against observations and other models, and propose a structured evaluation protocol for such emissions‐driven simulations. We conducted transient historical simulations (1850–2014) with BGCLNDATM_progCO2 and compare them to reference simulations—a land‐atmosphere coupled simulation without BGC and a standalone land simulation with BGC, both using prescribed CO 2 concentrations—and to observations. BGCLNDATM_progCO2 overestimates atmospheric CO 2 concentrations by 11–23 ppm yet stays within the 40‐ppm spread CMIP6 emission‐driven models and retains physical climate properties comparable to the reference runs. The CO 2 biases are partly attributed to underrepresented oceanic CO 2 uptake and inadequate representations of some terrestrial processes. In general, introducing prognostic CO 2 did not change physical climate metrics at the global scale but had larger regional effects, particularly over land where spatially heterogeneous CO 2 and prognostic leaf area index influenced surface energy balance. Finally, we propose a general evaluation protocol including spin‐up assessment, atmospheric CO 2 benchmarking, physical climate evaluation, and land biogeochemical analysis to support scientific rigor and facilitate inter‐model comparisons. The new configuration lays the groundwork for future enhancements, including improved terrestrial biogeochemical processes, integrated marine biogeochemistry, and additional human–Earth system interactions. These developments advance E3SM toward fully coupled emissions‐driven simulations, enabling more accurate carbon–climate feedback projections and informing mitigation policy by providing physically consistent carbon‐budget metrics for mitigation scenarios.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025ms005099
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Implementation and Evaluation of Emission‐Driven Land‐Atmosphere Coupled Simulation in E3SMv2.1

Nathan Collier, Nicole Jeffery, Mathew Maltrud, Chengzhu Zhang et al.
Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Implementation and Evaluation of Emission‐Driven Land‐Atmosphere Coupled Simulation in E3SMv2.1

Nathan Collier, Nicole Jeffery, Mathew Maltrud, Chengzhu Zhang, Sha Feng, Susannah M. Burrows, Jennifer A. Holm, Yilin Fang, Xiaoying Shi, Jonathan D. Wolfe, Balwinder Singh, Ben Bond‐Lamberty, Yohei Takano, Ryan M. Forsyth, Peter Thornton, Wuyin Lin, Bryce E. Harrop, Daniel Ricciuto, Qing Zhu, Lai-Yung Ruby Leung
article en

Abstract

Abstract Emissions‐driven (prognostic CO 2 ) simulations are essential for representing two‐way carbon‐climate feedback in Earth System Models. We present an emissions‐driven land–atmosphere coupled biogeochemistry (BGC) configuration (BGCLNDATM_progCO2) in version 2.1 of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SMv2.1). This is the first E3SM configuration that performs land‐atmosphere emission‐hindcasts. Here, we document its implementation, evaluate the model's performance against observations and other models, and propose a structured evaluation protocol for such emissions‐driven simulations. We conducted transient historical simulations (1850–2014) with BGCLNDATM_progCO2 and compare them to reference simulations—a land‐atmosphere coupled simulation without BGC and a standalone land simulation with BGC, both using prescribed CO 2 concentrations—and to observations. BGCLNDATM_progCO2 overestimates atmospheric CO 2 concentrations by 11–23 ppm yet stays within the 40‐ppm spread CMIP6 emission‐driven models and retains physical climate properties comparable to the reference runs. The CO 2 biases are partly attributed to underrepresented oceanic CO 2 uptake and inadequate representations of some terrestrial processes. In general, introducing prognostic CO 2 did not change physical climate metrics at the global scale but had larger regional effects, particularly over land where spatially heterogeneous CO 2 and prognostic leaf area index influenced surface energy balance. Finally, we propose a general evaluation protocol including spin‐up assessment, atmospheric CO 2 benchmarking, physical climate evaluation, and land biogeochemical analysis to support scientific rigor and facilitate inter‐model comparisons. The new configuration lays the groundwork for future enhancements, including improved terrestrial biogeochemical processes, integrated marine biogeochemistry, and additional human–Earth system interactions. These developments advance E3SM toward fully coupled emissions‐driven simulations, enabling more accurate carbon–climate feedback projections and informing mitigation policy by providing physically consistent carbon‐budget metrics for mitigation scenarios.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth SystemsVol. 17(12)
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (US), Oak Ridge National Laboratory (US), British Antarctic Survey (GB), Los Alamos National Laboratory (US), Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (US), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US), Brookhaven National Laboratory (US)
U.S. Department of Energy, Battelle, UT-Battelle, Office of Science, National Nuclear Security Administration, Biological and Environmental Research, Argonne National Laboratory, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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