Reduced cloud cover errors in a hybrid AI-climate model through equation discovery and automatic tuning
Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical consistency, and smooth integration into ESMs. Here, a two-step method is presented to improve a climate model with data-driven parameterizations. First, we incorporate a physically consistent cloud cover parameterization-derived from storm-resolving simulations via symbolic regression, preserving interpretability while enhancing accuracy-into the ICON global atmospheric model. Second, we apply the gradient-free Nelder-Mead optimizer to automatically recalibrate the hybrid model against Earth observations, tuning in nested stages (2-, 7-, 30- and 365-day runs) to ensure stability and tractability. The tuned hybrid model substantially reduces long-standing biases in cloud cover-particularly over the Southern Ocean (by 75%) and subtropical stratocumulus regions (by 44%)-and remains robust under +4K surface warming. These results demonstrate that interpretable machine-learned parameterizations, paired with practical tuning, can efficiently and transparently strengthen ESM fidelity.
Authors
- Julien Savre (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3104-6987)
- Arthur Grundner (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3765-242X)
- Axel Lauer (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9270-1044)
- Manuel Schlund (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5251-0158)
- Veronika Eyring (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6887-4885)
- Tom Beucler (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5731-1040)
Institutions
- University of Bremen (DE)
- Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt e. V. (DLR) (DE)
- University of Lausanne (CH)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Scientific Reports
- Published
- 2025-12-13
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-29155-3
- Primary Topic
- Climate variability and models
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00
Funders
- Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum