Complementary strengths of the Neyman-Rubin and graphical causal frameworks

This article contributes to the discussion on the relationship between the Neyman-Rubin and the graphical frameworks for causal inference. We present specific examples of data-generating mechanisms — such as those involving undirected or deterministic relationships and cycles — where analyses using a directed acyclic graph are challenging, but where the tools from the Neyman-Rubin causal framework are readily applicable. We also provide examples of data-generating mechanisms with M-bias, trapdoor variables, and complex front-door structures, where the covariate adjustment in the Neyman-Rubin approach provides biased estimators of causal effects, but the graphical approach helps analysts identify valid strategies for unbiased estimation. The examples offer insights into commonly used causal inference frameworks and aim to improve comprehension of the languages for causal reasoning among a broad audience.

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Publication Details

Journal
The American Statistician
Published
2026-08-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/00031305.2026.2719499
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Complementary strengths of the Neyman-Rubin and graphical causal frameworks

Juha Karvanen, Tetiana Gorbach, Xavier de Luna, Ingeborg Waernbaum
The American Statistician
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
article

Complementary strengths of the Neyman-Rubin and graphical causal frameworks

Juha Karvanen, Tetiana Gorbach, Xavier de Luna, Ingeborg Waernbaum
article en

Abstract

This article contributes to the discussion on the relationship between the Neyman-Rubin and the graphical frameworks for causal inference. We present specific examples of data-generating mechanisms — such as those involving undirected or deterministic relationships and cycles — where analyses using a directed acyclic graph are challenging, but where the tools from the Neyman-Rubin causal framework are readily applicable. We also provide examples of data-generating mechanisms with M-bias, trapdoor variables, and complex front-door structures, where the covariate adjustment in the Neyman-Rubin approach provides biased estimators of causal effects, but the graphical approach helps analysts identify valid strategies for unbiased estimation. The examples offer insights into commonly used causal inference frameworks and aim to improve comprehension of the languages for causal reasoning among a broad audience.

The American Statistician
Uppsala University (SE), Umeå University (SE), University of Jyväskylä (FI)
Vetenskapsrådet, Marcus och Amalia Wallenbergs minnesfond
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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