Noise enables conditional recovery from collapse: Probabilistic persistence in threshold-activated systems

We report a paradoxical phenomenon where stochasticity reverses deterministic collapse in threshold-activated systems. By using a hybrid logistic-sigmoidal map, we show that weak noise alters phase-space topology, enabling probabilistic recovery from extinction. Lyapunov and quasipotential analyses reveal noise-induced metastability and stochastic robustness absent in deterministic frameworks. These results suggest that environmental variability can stabilize nonlinear systems, offering a counternarrative to classical extinction theory.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical review. E
Published
2025-11-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/xgq1-nnqb
Primary Topic
stochastic dynamics and bifurcation
Type
article
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article

Noise enables conditional recovery from collapse: Probabilistic persistence in threshold-activated systems

Karl J. Friston
Physical review. E
stochastic dynamics and bifurcation
article

Noise enables conditional recovery from collapse: Probabilistic persistence in threshold-activated systems

Karl J. Friston
article en

Abstract

We report a paradoxical phenomenon where stochasticity reverses deterministic collapse in threshold-activated systems. By using a hybrid logistic-sigmoidal map, we show that weak noise alters phase-space topology, enabling probabilistic recovery from extinction. Lyapunov and quasipotential analyses reveal noise-induced metastability and stochastic robustness absent in deterministic frameworks. These results suggest that environmental variability can stabilize nonlinear systems, offering a counternarrative to classical extinction theory.

Physical review. EVol. 112(6)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
stochastic dynamics and bifurcation
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Noise enables conditional recovery from collapse: Probabilistic persistence in threshold-activated systems — Karl J. Friston · Physical review. E (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS