Post recommendation price drift: Evidence from Chinese stock market

This paper investigates price drifts and return reversals surrounding analysts’ initial stock recommendations in Chinese A-share market from 2010 to 2017. Using an integrated framework, we test the Information Dissemination Hypothesis (IDH), Price Pressure Hypothesis (PPH), and Attention-Grabbing Hypothesis (AGH). Our findings reveal that both positive and non-positive recommendations trigger significant short-term price drifts and trading volume spikes, followed by reversals. This pattern inconsistent with the IDH and supports a behavioral sequence in which attention-induced trading generates price pressure, while arbitrage frictions delaying the mispricing correction. In Chinese retail-dominated, arbitrage-constrained environment, limited attention drives short-term drifts, and arbitrage frictions prolong mispricing corrections. These insights extend the AGH to the Chinese setting and refine the understanding of post-recommendation price drift in emerging markets.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Review of Economics & Finance
Published
2025-12-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104830
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Post recommendation price drift: Evidence from Chinese stock market

Yarong Hao, Zhu Cheng-ke
International Review of Economics & Finance
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Post recommendation price drift: Evidence from Chinese stock market

Yarong Hao, Zhu Cheng-ke
article en

Abstract

This paper investigates price drifts and return reversals surrounding analysts’ initial stock recommendations in Chinese A-share market from 2010 to 2017. Using an integrated framework, we test the Information Dissemination Hypothesis (IDH), Price Pressure Hypothesis (PPH), and Attention-Grabbing Hypothesis (AGH). Our findings reveal that both positive and non-positive recommendations trigger significant short-term price drifts and trading volume spikes, followed by reversals. This pattern inconsistent with the IDH and supports a behavioral sequence in which attention-induced trading generates price pressure, while arbitrage frictions delaying the mispricing correction. In Chinese retail-dominated, arbitrage-constrained environment, limited attention drives short-term drifts, and arbitrage frictions prolong mispricing corrections. These insights extend the AGH to the Chinese setting and refine the understanding of post-recommendation price drift in emerging markets.

International Review of Economics & FinanceVol. 105
Openalex Percentile: Top 52%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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