S2947 Burden of Pancreatitis in Children and Adolescents Under 20 in the US: A 1990-2021 Global Burden of Disease Study
Introduction: Pancreatitis among children and adolescents is an increasingly recognized cause of gastrointestinal related morbidity and mortality. Pancreatitis in this age group usually have a unique etiology (viral infections, congenital anomalies) that lead to long term complications. In this study we aim to highlight pancreatitis burden among populations younger than 20 years, using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Database. Methods: The U.S. specific data were extracted from the GBD database for the age group less than 20 years from 1990 to 2021. The primary outcome was the age specific mortality rate, incidence rate, The disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of Pancreatitis. National trends were visualized using GBD derived mortality figures and graphs, with data further stratified by sex. Results: Among individuals under 20 years of age in the U.S., the incidence rate of pancreatitis increased from 7.07 to 8.26 per 100,000 between 1990 and 2021. In comparison, the global incidence rate in 2021 was 7.38 per 100,000. Despite the rising incidence, the age-specific mortality rate in the U.S. declined from 0.03 to 0.02 per 100,000 over the same period, remaining lower than the global mortality rate of 0.04 per 100,000 in 2021. When projected, it is estimated that by 2050, the U.S. age-specific mortality rates will decline to 0.015 per 100,000. Sex-specific analysis revealed that females consistently exhibited higher incidence rates of pancreatitis, increasing from 8.53 per 100,000 in 1990 to 9.57 per 100,000 in 2021. In comparison, incidence rates among males rose from 5.69 to 7.01 per 100,000 during the same period. Overall, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with pancreatitis declined slightly from 2.53 to 2.32 years per 100,000 between 1990 and 2021. Conclusion: Between 1990 and 2021, pediatric pancreatitis incidence in the United States increased, while mortality and DALYs remained low. Females had consistently higher incidence rates. The rising incidence alongside declining mortality suggests improved healthcare in this population. Compared to global data, the U.S. showed higher incidence but lower mortality, highlighting the need for continued monitoring and prevention efforts globally.
Authors
- Ahmed Hassan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8693-0521)
- Mona A. Ali (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2416-6702)
- Mohamed Eldesouki (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-6662-5883)
- Sherif Elhanafi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4560-4396)
- Mostafa A. El‐Naggar (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8602-0181)
- Omar Abdelhalim (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0004-7528-9045)
- H. A. A. El-Saka (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8622-4405)
- Mohammed Y. Youssef (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5631-9342)
Publication Details
- Journal
- The American Journal of Gastroenterology
- Published
- 2025-10-01
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.14309/01.ajg.0001139248.76068.7b
- Primary Topic
- Pancreatitis Pathology and Treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00