S2448 Combined Platelet Count and Fib-4 Score for Risk Stratification in MASLD: Perfect Separation of Advanced Disease in a Veteran Population

Introduction: Early identification of advanced fibrosis is essential in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to guide referral, monitoring, and therapeutic intervention. Noninvasive scoring systems such as Fib-4 are widely recommended, yet their use may be limited by accessibility. Platelet count is routinely available, and has been associated with liver fibrosis. However, the value and practical impact of combining platelet count with Fib-4 for rapid risk stratification has not been systematically assessed. We aimed to evaluate whether an approach using both platelet count and Fib-4 score can achieve near-perfect separation of patients at risk for advanced fibrosis, and to characterize the clinical features of discordant phenotypes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 80 adults with MASLD from a veteran's affairs hospital. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were abstracted from the EMR. Advanced fibrosis was defined by Fib-4 >2.67 or clinical cirrhosis diagnosis. Platelet count < 162 × 10⁹/L, identified by ROC analysis, was used as the optimal threshold. Patients were stratified based on combinations of platelet count and Fib-4 score. Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV were calculated for both single and combined strategies. Discordant cases were analyzed for demographic and clinical differences. Results: All patients with advanced fibrosis (n = 10,12.3%) had either a high Fib-4 (>2.67) or a low platelet count (<162 × 10⁹/L), resulting in 100% sensitivity and NPV for the combined approach. No patient with both a normal platelet count and low/intermediate Fib-4 had advanced fibrosis. The specificity of the strategy was 68%, and PPV was 22%. Discordant cases (low platelet, low Fib-4) were older (mean age 73 vs 58 years), more likely to have diabetes (81% vs 38%), and had lower BMI (30.4 vs 30.8). Multivariable regression confirmed that the combination of platelet count and Fib-4 offered superior discrimination for advanced disease compared to either marker alone (P < 0.001). Conclusion: The combination of platelet count and Fib-4 score provided perfect NPV for advanced fibrosis in this cohort. This simple 2-step rule—advanced fibrosis ruled out if both platelet count ≥ 162 × 10⁹/L and Fib-4 ≤2.67—can serve as an effective and accessible triage tool, reducing unnecessary specialty referrals and diagnostic testing. Discordant cases represent a unique phenotype characterized by older age and greater metabolic risk, highlighting the need for prospective validation in larger cohort.

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Publication Details

Journal
The American Journal of Gastroenterology
Published
2025-10-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.14309/01.ajg.0001137252.88582.93
Primary Topic
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
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article

S2448 Combined Platelet Count and Fib-4 Score for Risk Stratification in MASLD: Perfect Separation of Advanced Disease in a Veteran Population

Kartick Patra, Pallavi Kawatra, David A. Stein, Jacky Reny et al.
The American Journal of Gastroenterology
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
article

S2448 Combined Platelet Count and Fib-4 Score for Risk Stratification in MASLD: Perfect Separation of Advanced Disease in a Veteran Population

Kartick Patra, Pallavi Kawatra, David A. Stein, Jacky Reny, Louis E. Fisher, Jordan Barnett-Kradjian
article en

Abstract

Introduction: Early identification of advanced fibrosis is essential in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to guide referral, monitoring, and therapeutic intervention. Noninvasive scoring systems such as Fib-4 are widely recommended, yet their use may be limited by accessibility. Platelet count is routinely available, and has been associated with liver fibrosis. However, the value and practical impact of combining platelet count with Fib-4 for rapid risk stratification has not been systematically assessed. We aimed to evaluate whether an approach using both platelet count and Fib-4 score can achieve near-perfect separation of patients at risk for advanced fibrosis, and to characterize the clinical features of discordant phenotypes. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of 80 adults with MASLD from a veteran's affairs hospital. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were abstracted from the EMR. Advanced fibrosis was defined by Fib-4 >2.67 or clinical cirrhosis diagnosis. Platelet count < 162 × 10⁹/L, identified by ROC analysis, was used as the optimal threshold. Patients were stratified based on combinations of platelet count and Fib-4 score. Sensitivity, specificity, NPV, and PPV were calculated for both single and combined strategies. Discordant cases were analyzed for demographic and clinical differences. Results: All patients with advanced fibrosis (n = 10,12.3%) had either a high Fib-4 (>2.67) or a low platelet count (<162 × 10⁹/L), resulting in 100% sensitivity and NPV for the combined approach. No patient with both a normal platelet count and low/intermediate Fib-4 had advanced fibrosis. The specificity of the strategy was 68%, and PPV was 22%. Discordant cases (low platelet, low Fib-4) were older (mean age 73 vs 58 years), more likely to have diabetes (81% vs 38%), and had lower BMI (30.4 vs 30.8). Multivariable regression confirmed that the combination of platelet count and Fib-4 offered superior discrimination for advanced disease compared to either marker alone (P < 0.001). Conclusion: The combination of platelet count and Fib-4 score provided perfect NPV for advanced fibrosis in this cohort. This simple 2-step rule—advanced fibrosis ruled out if both platelet count ≥ 162 × 10⁹/L and Fib-4 ≤2.67—can serve as an effective and accessible triage tool, reducing unnecessary specialty referrals and diagnostic testing. Discordant cases represent a unique phenotype characterized by older age and greater metabolic risk, highlighting the need for prospective validation in larger cohort.

The American Journal of GastroenterologyVol. 120(10S2)
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
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