Unrealized fertility in demography

BACKGROUNDOver the past few decades, demographic research on unrealized fertility -the experience of having fewer children than desired -has expanded rapidly, particularly in low-fertility settings.More recently, scholars have shown that unrealized fertility is also widespread in higher-fertility contexts, affecting individuals across diverse sociodemographic conditions.Yet the literature remains fragmented, spanning definitions and measurement approaches, and with limited synthesis across settings. OBJECTIVEThis article reflects on the current state of demographic research on unrealized fertility.Drawing on studies from both the Global North and Global South, we provide a narrative review of how unrealized fertility has been measured, its primary causes, and the persistent gaps in the field. RESULTSWe identify five dominant approaches to measuring unrealized fertility and review their strengths and limitations, as well as the data constraints that hinder cross-contextual comparisons.We then consider the principal causes of unrealized fertility and introduce a preliminary conceptual model for understanding its multilevel drivers.Finally, we highlight key gaps in the literature and propose substantive and methodological directions for future research.

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Publication Details

Journal
Demographic Research
Published
2025-12-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.4054/demres.2025.53.36
Primary Topic
Family Dynamics and Relationships
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Unrealized fertility in demography

Sara Yeatman, Emily Smith‐Greenaway
Demographic Research
Family Dynamics and Relationships
article

Unrealized fertility in demography

Sara Yeatman, Emily Smith‐Greenaway
article en

Abstract

BACKGROUNDOver the past few decades, demographic research on unrealized fertility -the experience of having fewer children than desired -has expanded rapidly, particularly in low-fertility settings.More recently, scholars have shown that unrealized fertility is also widespread in higher-fertility contexts, affecting individuals across diverse sociodemographic conditions.Yet the literature remains fragmented, spanning definitions and measurement approaches, and with limited synthesis across settings. OBJECTIVEThis article reflects on the current state of demographic research on unrealized fertility.Drawing on studies from both the Global North and Global South, we provide a narrative review of how unrealized fertility has been measured, its primary causes, and the persistent gaps in the field. RESULTSWe identify five dominant approaches to measuring unrealized fertility and review their strengths and limitations, as well as the data constraints that hinder cross-contextual comparisons.We then consider the principal causes of unrealized fertility and introduce a preliminary conceptual model for understanding its multilevel drivers.Finally, we highlight key gaps in the literature and propose substantive and methodological directions for future research.

Demographic ResearchVol. 53
University of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania State University, National Institutes of Health
Openalex Percentile: Top 38%
Family Dynamics and Relationships
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