Quantifying the irregularity of a time series

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition network derived from a time series. We demonstrate numerically that circulance sensitively and robustly positions time series of canonical model systems, representative of preset dynamical regimes, along a continuous spectrum from regularity to randomness. Analyzing empirical data from long-term observations of high-dimensional, complex systems—human brain and the Sun—reveals that circulance aids in elucidating different dynamical regimes.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical Review Research
Published
2025-12-05
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/3vzd-7kg2
Primary Topic
Chaos control and synchronization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Quantifying the irregularity of a time series

Karl J. Friston
Physical Review Research
Chaos control and synchronization
article

Quantifying the irregularity of a time series

Karl J. Friston
article en

Abstract

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition network derived from a time series. We demonstrate numerically that circulance sensitively and robustly positions time series of canonical model systems, representative of preset dynamical regimes, along a continuous spectrum from regularity to randomness. Analyzing empirical data from long-term observations of high-dimensional, complex systems—human brain and the Sun—reveals that circulance aids in elucidating different dynamical regimes.

Physical Review ResearchVol. 8(1)
University of Bonn (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 68%
Chaos control and synchronization
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