Links between influenza epidemics, weather characteristics and all-cause mortality in the Czech Republic, 1982–2020

The findings suggest that weather indicators, particularly air temperature and absolute humidity, play an important role in the timing and severity of epidemics, and that these parameters differ with the predominant influenza virus. In the temperate climate of Central Europe, the circulation of the A/H3N2 virus in the population, combined with prolonged periods of low temperatures, results in influenza epidemics with the largest excess mortality. These findings highlight the need for a better understanding of weather conditions that increase influenza transmission and survival, and for distinguishing between predominant virus subtypes when informing at-risk populations, implementing preventive measures, and mitigating negative impacts.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMC Public Health
Published
2025-12-10
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-25861-9
Primary Topic
Influenza Virus Research Studies
Type
article
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Links between influenza epidemics, weather characteristics and all-cause mortality in the Czech Republic, 1982–2020

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Links between influenza epidemics, weather characteristics and all-cause mortality in the Czech Republic, 1982–2020

Hana Hanzlíková, Jan Kyselý, Eva Plavcová, Marek Malý, Jan Kynčl, Aleš Urban
article en

Abstract

The findings suggest that weather indicators, particularly air temperature and absolute humidity, play an important role in the timing and severity of epidemics, and that these parameters differ with the predominant influenza virus. In the temperate climate of Central Europe, the circulation of the A/H3N2 virus in the population, combined with prolonged periods of low temperatures, results in influenza epidemics with the largest excess mortality. These findings highlight the need for a better understanding of weather conditions that increase influenza transmission and survival, and for distinguishing between predominant virus subtypes when informing at-risk populations, implementing preventive measures, and mitigating negative impacts.

BMC Public HealthVol. 26(1)
Czech University of Life Sciences Prague (CZ), Charles University (CZ), National Institute of Public Health (JP), Czech Academy of Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics (CZ)
Openalex Percentile: Top 49%
Influenza Virus Research Studies
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