Different hydrothermal conditions drive the radial growth pattern of larch (Larix spp.) species on the southeastern Tibetan Plateau

Abstract The Hengduan Mountains, a biodiversity hotspot on the Tibetan Plateau, are undergoing rapid elevation-dependent warming, profoundly altering alpine forest dynamics. Larix species in this region dominate high-altitude treelines and represent the world’s lowest-latitude natural populations of larch forests. However, climate-growth relationships of Larix species at the whole regional scales have received little attention. To address this gap, we investigated the spatiotemporal variability of radial growth in Larix species and their climatic sensitivity across this region using a network of 26 tree-ring chronologies spanning 1960–2022. Hierarchical clustering identified three distinct geographical clusters (southwestern, central, and northeastern), revealing divergent growth trajectories and climate responses. Results demonstrated that growing-season temperature was the primary climatic driver of Larix radial growth, but its influence varied spatially: southwestern populations correlate strongly with May–August mean temperatures, central populations with May–August mean temperatures, and northeastern populations with April–June maximum temperatures. Each cluster exhibited unique growth trends and thermal sensitivities before and after the rapid warming since 1990. Meanwhile, an inter-individual response divergence became apparent under warming, reflecting intensified competition and microhabitat-scale stress, which highlights the limitations of traditional population-level climate response models that assume a uniform response. Spatial heterogeneity in climate-growth relationships reflected synergistic thermal-hydrological effects and species-specific adaptations, with warming enhancing carbon sequestration in moisture-sufficient areas but threatening high-elevation ecosystems through growth suppression and treelines instability. These findings underscore the need for regionally tailored conservation strategies to address climate-driven ecological imbalances in alpine forests.