In Situ Estimation of Li-Ion Battery State of Health Using On-Board Electrical Measurements for Electromobility Applications

The well-balanced combination of high energy density and competitive cycle performance has established lithium-ion batteries as the technology of choice for Electric Vehicles (EVs) energy storage. Nevertheless, battery degradation continues to pose challenges to EV range, safety, and long-term reliability, making accurate estimation of their State of Health (SoH) crucial for efficient battery management, safety, and improved longevity. This paper addresses a compelling research question surrounding the possibility of developing a real-time, non-invasive, and efficient methodology for estimating lithium-ion battery SoH without battery removal, relying solely on voltage and current data. Our approach integrates the fitting abilities of Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) with the dynamic uncertainty propagation of Bayesian Filtering to provide accurate and robust online SoH estimation. By reconstructing the open-circuit voltage curve from real-time data, the MLE estimates battery capacity during discharge cycles, while Bayesian Filtering refines these estimates, accounting for uncertainties and variations. The methodology is validated using an available dataset from Stanford University, demonstrating its effectiveness in tracking battery degradation under driving profiles. The results indicate that the approach can reliably estimate battery SoH with mean absolute errors below 1%, confirming its suitability for scalable EV applications.