Multivariate Analysis of the Bioclimatic and Soil Determinants That Model the Distribution of Bidens pilosa L. in Veracruz, Mexico

Bidens pilosa L. is a cosmopolitan and invasive weed that strongly impacts agricultural systems in tropical regions. In Veracruz, Mexico, its presence extends mainly across mid-elevation zones where coffee, maize, and sugarcane are cultivated. This study characterized the bioclimatic and edaphic determinants of B. pilosa distribution using 581 georeferenced occurrences combined with 19 bioclimatic variables, elevation, and soil data. A Maxent model revealed the highest habitat suitability (0.65–1.0) in the central mountainous region between 800 and 1500 m.a.s.l., particularly under temperate–humid climates (Cfa, Cfb) and Acrisol–Leptosol soils. Principal component and redundancy analyses showed that annual precipitation (BIO12), precipitation of the driest month (BIO14), and temperature seasonality (BIO4) explained 74.7% of the total environmental variance. Cluster analysis identified four distinct ecological groups, confirming broad ecological plasticity. These findings indicate that B. pilosa is not randomly distributed but structured along climatic and soil gradients, with precipitation and elevation as major determinants of its ecological niche. Understanding these relationships provides a quantitative framework for predicting its expansion under future climate scenarios and for designing targeted management strategies in tropical agroecosystems.