Flash droughts exacerbate global vegetation loss and delay recovery

The increasing incidence of flash droughts globally presents a great challenge to the agriculture sector, ecosystem resilience and water resource systems. Here we introduce a methodology that improves the accuracy of quantifying drought-induced global vegetation loss (using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)-derived metric). Our results reveal that NDVI loss during flash droughts (9.0%) is approximately 1.5 times higher than that during conventional droughts (5.3%), highlighting the increasing role of flash droughts as the key driver of drought-induced NDVI loss worldwide. Furthermore, we identify a significant upward trend (1.8% per decade) in global NDVI loss due to flash droughts, primarily driven by the increasing frequency of such events, which account for 81.2% of the overall trend. Although NDVI typically recovers within 36 pentads across more than 9256.3 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup> of the global land surface after flash droughts, there is a notable increase (0.4 pentads per year) in NDVI recovery time from 1982 to 2020, particularly in tropical rainforests and temperate forests. These findings highlight the alarming ecological consequences of increasingly frequent and intense flash droughts, with impacts expected to intensify in the future.

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Publication Details

Journal
Nature Communications
Published
2025-12-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-67173-x
Citations
15
Primary Topic
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
16.58
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Flash droughts exacerbate global vegetation loss and delay recovery

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Nature Communications
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
16.58
article

Flash droughts exacerbate global vegetation loss and delay recovery

Josep Peñuelas, Yongshuo H. Fu, Yuanfang Chai, Chiyuan Miao, Amir AghaKouchak, Yadu Pokhrel, Qi Zhang, Xiaoyan Li, Jiachen Ji
article en
15 citations

Abstract

The increasing incidence of flash droughts globally presents a great challenge to the agriculture sector, ecosystem resilience and water resource systems. Here we introduce a methodology that improves the accuracy of quantifying drought-induced global vegetation loss (using Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)-derived metric). Our results reveal that NDVI loss during flash droughts (9.0%) is approximately 1.5 times higher than that during conventional droughts (5.3%), highlighting the increasing role of flash droughts as the key driver of drought-induced NDVI loss worldwide. Furthermore, we identify a significant upward trend (1.8% per decade) in global NDVI loss due to flash droughts, primarily driven by the increasing frequency of such events, which account for 81.2% of the overall trend. Although NDVI typically recovers within 36 pentads across more than 9256.3 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup> of the global land surface after flash droughts, there is a notable increase (0.4 pentads per year) in NDVI recovery time from 1982 to 2020, particularly in tropical rainforests and temperate forests. These findings highlight the alarming ecological consequences of increasingly frequent and intense flash droughts, with impacts expected to intensify in the future.

Nature CommunicationsVol. 17(1)
Zhejiang Normal University (CN), University of California, Irvine (US), Beijing Normal University (CN), Centre for Research on Ecology and Forestry Applications (ES), Irvine University (US), Global Ecology Unit CREAF-CSIC-UAB, Michigan State University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Hydrology and Drought Analysis
16.58
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