Burden of Non-communicable Diseases Attributable to High and Low Ambient Temperatures, 1990–2031: A Forecasting Analysis for GBD 2021
The burden of NCDs associated with Hi-Tem has conspicuously increased in recent years compared to that associated with Lo-Tem, with significant diversity across age, sex, and socio-demographic index (SDI) levels. Therefore, public health strategies should prioritize tailored interventions for heterogeneous risk profiles across vulnerable populations, integrated with climate-resilient surveillance systems and real-time adaptive response mechanisms to mitigate projected climate-mediated exacerbations of NCD burden.
Authors
- Boduan Xiao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0564-9944)
- Luo Li-bo
- Xiang-Wei Cheng
- Peihong Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6386-8446)
- Xiaokang Hu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3667-3501)
- Lu Ding (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-3631-2739)
- Huanhuan Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6472-5137)
- Wen Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6118-3136)
- Han-Guang Peng
- Xiaoli Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-8861-7780)
- Xiaoqing Zhang
- Li Pu
Institutions
- Union Hospital (HK)
- Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
- Wuhan No.1 Hospital (CN)
- Fifth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
- Wuchang University of Technology (CN)
- Wuhan Union Hospital (CN)
- Union Hospital (CN)
- Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Current Medical Science
- Published
- 2025-12-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1007/s11596-025-00148-7
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Climate Change and Health Impacts
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.20
Funders
- Huazhong University of Science and Technology
- Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province
- Tongji University
- Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology