Extreme events scaling in self-organized critical models

Abstract We study extreme events of avalanche activities in finite-size two-dimensional self-organized critical (SOC) models, specifically the stochastic Manna model (SMM) and the Bak–Tang–Wiesenfeld sandpile model. Employing the approach of block maxima, the study numerically reveals that the distributions for extreme avalanche size and area follow the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The extreme avalanche size follows the Gumbel distribution with shape parameter ξ = 0 while in the case of the extreme avalanche area, we find ξ > 0. We propose scaling functions for extreme avalanche activities that connect the activities on different length scales. Using the data collapse, we extract the precise value of these critical exponents. The scaling functions provide an understanding of the intricate dynamics for different variants of the sandpile model, shedding light on the relationship between system size and extreme event characteristics. Our findings give insight into the extreme behavior of SOC models and offer a framework to understand the statistical properties of extreme events.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Statistical Mechanics Theory and Experiment
Published
2026-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/ae5a17
Primary Topic
Theoretical and Computational Physics
Type
article
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article

Extreme events scaling in self-organized critical models

Haider Hasan Jafri, Abdul Quadir
Journal of Statistical Mechanics Theory and Experiment
Theoretical and Computational Physics
article

Extreme events scaling in self-organized critical models

Haider Hasan Jafri, Abdul Quadir
article en

Abstract

Abstract We study extreme events of avalanche activities in finite-size two-dimensional self-organized critical (SOC) models, specifically the stochastic Manna model (SMM) and the Bak–Tang–Wiesenfeld sandpile model. Employing the approach of block maxima, the study numerically reveals that the distributions for extreme avalanche size and area follow the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution. The extreme avalanche size follows the Gumbel distribution with shape parameter ξ = 0 while in the case of the extreme avalanche area, we find ξ > 0. We propose scaling functions for extreme avalanche activities that connect the activities on different length scales. Using the data collapse, we extract the precise value of these critical exponents. The scaling functions provide an understanding of the intricate dynamics for different variants of the sandpile model, shedding light on the relationship between system size and extreme event characteristics. Our findings give insight into the extreme behavior of SOC models and offer a framework to understand the statistical properties of extreme events.

Journal of Statistical Mechanics Theory and ExperimentVol. 2026(4)
Aligarh Muslim University (IN), Guangdong Technion-Israel Institute of Technology (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 97%
Theoretical and Computational Physics
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