Hybrid Deep Learning with Conformal Prediction for Recycled Aggregate Self-Compacting Concrete Strength Prediction

This study presents a novel hybrid deep learning framework integrating Feature Tokenizer-Transformer (FT-Transformer) with Masked Multi-Layer Perceptron (Masked MLP) for predicting the compressive strength of recycled aggregate self-compacting concrete (RASCC). The framework addresses incomplete data challenges through a missingness-aware fusion strategy and two-stage stacking scheme with Ridge regression. Using a dataset of 289 experimental records with 18 input parameters, the hybrid model achieved robust predictive performance with enhanced generalization stability (Test R2 = 0.940, RMSE = 4.219 MPa) while demonstrating consistent predictions under data missingness conditions up to 25%. SHAP analysis revealed that cement content, water-to-binder ratio, and curing age are the dominant factors influencing RASCC strength. The proposed uncertainty quantification via split conformal prediction provides 90% coverage with average interval width of 8.32 MPa, enabling practical engineering applications with quantified reliability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Buildings
Published
2025-12-07
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/buildings15244419
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Recycled Aggregate Concrete Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.01
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article

Hybrid Deep Learning with Conformal Prediction for Recycled Aggregate Self-Compacting Concrete Strength Prediction

Zhiqin Zhang, Shuwei Dong
1 citations
Buildings
Recycled Aggregate Concrete Performance
1.01
article

Hybrid Deep Learning with Conformal Prediction for Recycled Aggregate Self-Compacting Concrete Strength Prediction

Zhiqin Zhang, Shuwei Dong
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This study presents a novel hybrid deep learning framework integrating Feature Tokenizer-Transformer (FT-Transformer) with Masked Multi-Layer Perceptron (Masked MLP) for predicting the compressive strength of recycled aggregate self-compacting concrete (RASCC). The framework addresses incomplete data challenges through a missingness-aware fusion strategy and two-stage stacking scheme with Ridge regression. Using a dataset of 289 experimental records with 18 input parameters, the hybrid model achieved robust predictive performance with enhanced generalization stability (Test R2 = 0.940, RMSE = 4.219 MPa) while demonstrating consistent predictions under data missingness conditions up to 25%. SHAP analysis revealed that cement content, water-to-binder ratio, and curing age are the dominant factors influencing RASCC strength. The proposed uncertainty quantification via split conformal prediction provides 90% coverage with average interval width of 8.32 MPa, enabling practical engineering applications with quantified reliability.

BuildingsVol. 15(24)
Hohai University (CN), Fuzhou University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 18%
Recycled Aggregate Concrete Performance
1.01
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