Binary black hole population inference combining confident and marginal events from the ias-hm search pipeline

We present the population properties of binary black hole mergers identified by the ias-hm pipeline (which incorporates higher-order modes in the search templates) during the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (LVK) detectors. In our population inference analysis, instead of only using events above a sharp cut based on a particular detection threshold (e.g., false alarm rate), we use a Bayesian framework to consistently include both marginal and confident events. We find that our inference based solely on highly significant events (${p}_{\text{astro}}\ensuremath{\sim}1$) is broadly consistent with the GWTC-3 population analysis performed by the LVK Collaboration. However, incorporating marginal events into the analysis leads to a preference for stronger redshift evolution in the merger rate and an increased density of asymmetric mass-ratio mergers relative to the GWTC-3 analysis, while remaining within its allowed parameter ranges. Using simple parametric models to describe the binary black hole population, we estimate a merger rate density [$R(z)={\mathcal{R}}_{0}(1+z{)}^{\ensuremath{\kappa}}$] of ${32.4}_{\ensuremath{-}12.2}^{+18.5}\text{ }\text{ }{\mathrm{Gpc}}^{\ensuremath{-}3}\text{ }{\mathrm{yr}}^{\ensuremath{-}1}$ at redshift $z=0.2$ and a redshift evolution parameter of $\ensuremath{\kappa}={4.4}_{\ensuremath{-}2.0}^{+1.9}$. Assuming a power-law form for the mass-ratio distribution ($\ensuremath{\propto}{q}^{\ensuremath{\beta}}$), we infer $\ensuremath{\beta}={0.1}_{\ensuremath{-}1.4}^{+1.9}$, indicating a relatively flat distribution. These results highlight the potential impact of marginal events on population inferences and motivate future analyses with data from upcoming observing runs.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical review. D/Physical review. D.
Published
2025-11-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/mc85-361v
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.15
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article

Binary black hole population inference combining confident and marginal events from the ias-hm search pipeline

A. K. Mehta, Digvijay Shivaji Wadekar, Tejaswi Venumadhav, Javier Roulet et al.
1 citations
Physical review. D/Physical review. D.
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
1.15
article

Binary black hole population inference combining confident and marginal events from the ias-hm search pipeline

A. K. Mehta, Digvijay Shivaji Wadekar, Tejaswi Venumadhav, Javier Roulet, Jonathan Mushkin, Tousif Islam, Matías Zaldarriaga, Barak Zackay, Isha Anantpurkar
article en
1 citations

Abstract

We present the population properties of binary black hole mergers identified by the ias-hm pipeline (which incorporates higher-order modes in the search templates) during the third observing run (O3) of the LIGO, Virgo, and KAGRA (LVK) detectors. In our population inference analysis, instead of only using events above a sharp cut based on a particular detection threshold (e.g., false alarm rate), we use a Bayesian framework to consistently include both marginal and confident events. We find that our inference based solely on highly significant events (${p}_{\text{astro}}\ensuremath{\sim}1$) is broadly consistent with the GWTC-3 population analysis performed by the LVK Collaboration. However, incorporating marginal events into the analysis leads to a preference for stronger redshift evolution in the merger rate and an increased density of asymmetric mass-ratio mergers relative to the GWTC-3 analysis, while remaining within its allowed parameter ranges. Using simple parametric models to describe the binary black hole population, we estimate a merger rate density [$R(z)={\mathcal{R}}_{0}(1+z{)}^{\ensuremath{\kappa}}$] of ${32.4}_{\ensuremath{-}12.2}^{+18.5}\text{ }\text{ }{\mathrm{Gpc}}^{\ensuremath{-}3}\text{ }{\mathrm{yr}}^{\ensuremath{-}1}$ at redshift $z=0.2$ and a redshift evolution parameter of $\ensuremath{\kappa}={4.4}_{\ensuremath{-}2.0}^{+1.9}$. Assuming a power-law form for the mass-ratio distribution ($\ensuremath{\propto}{q}^{\ensuremath{\beta}}$), we infer $\ensuremath{\beta}={0.1}_{\ensuremath{-}1.4}^{+1.9}$, indicating a relatively flat distribution. These results highlight the potential impact of marginal events on population inferences and motivate future analyses with data from upcoming observing runs.

Physical review. D/Physical review. D.Vol. 112(12)
Tata Institute of Fundamental Research (IN), California Institute of Technology (US), Johns Hopkins University (US), University of California, Santa Barbara (US), Chennai Mathematical Institute (IN), Kavli Institute for Theoretical Sciences (CN), Weizmann Institute of Science (IL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Pulsars and Gravitational Waves Research
1.15
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