Integration of multi-scale radiomics and deep learning for Ki-67 prediction in clear cell renal carcinoma
High Ki-67 expression in clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) predicts poor prognosis but requires postoperative assessment. In a multicenter retrospective study of 627 ccRCC patients, we developed and validated a multi-modal model, integrating multi-scale radiomics and deep learning (DL) features, for non-invasive, preoperative Ki-67 prediction. Using ensemble machine learning algorithms, unimodal models were constructed from preoperative CT-derived multi-scale radiomics (intratumoral, habitat, peritumoral), 2D/3D DL, and clinical features. A stacking strategy was used to fuse the best-performing unimodal models. The fusion model demonstrated superior performance, achieving an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.756 (95% CI 0.692-0.821) in the external test set. The model demonstrated excellent calibration and the highest clinical net benefit, with habitat radiomics identified as the dominant predictive component via SHAP analysis. Our validated multi-modal model significantly improves the preoperative prediction of Ki-67 expression compared to unimodal approaches, offering a promising tool to guide individualized surgical and surveillance strategies.
Authors
- Dingyang Lv
- Jinshuai Li (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0006-1608-7149)
- Lei Pang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2285-2728)
- Xiaodong Bian
- Xiaomei Yao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1210-3758)
- Weibing Shuang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9597-1886)
- Tiantian Zhao
- Huiyu Zhou (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1634-9840)
- Ying Qiao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9430-0682)
- Yi Rong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6142-2416)
- Zhiwei Guo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-8356-1729)
Institutions
- Shanxi Medical University (CN)
- First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (CN)
- Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences (CN)
- Shanxi Provincial People’s Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- npj Precision Oncology
- Published
- 2025-12-06
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41698-025-01214-y
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Renal cell carcinoma treatment
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.52