Assessing Patterns of Moisture Content in Decomposing, Desiccated, and Mummified Tissue in Western North Carolina

Background: Estimating the postmortem interval (PMI) is complicated by extrinsic environmental and intrinsic individual factors. Methods: Improved accuracy may be achieved through a better understanding of desiccation. This study examines moisture loss and desiccation in human remains in western North Carolina, validating previous research in central Texas. Ten donated individuals were placed across three seasonal trials at Western Carolina University’s Forensic Osteology Research Station (FOREST). Soft tissue moisture measurements were recorded from 20 locations on the body using a Delmhorst RDM-3TM meter, and environmental data were recorded on-site. Results: Moisture content declined rapidly until ~500 accumulated degree days (ADD), after which patterns became highly variable. Linear mixed-effects models identified temperature as the strongest predictor of moisture loss, particularly in spring and fall, while precipitation was the most influential in summer, coinciding with rapid skeletonization. Compared to central Texas, western North Carolina exhibited less consistent moisture loss patterns and greater environmental variability. Fixed effects explained 36–63% of moisture variation across body regions, with conditional R2 values modestly higher when accounting for individual differences. Conclusions: These findings highlight the importance of region-specific research for PMI estimation.