Climate change, more than management, drives short- and long-term changes in iWUE in a sub-Alpine beech forest

Abstract The present study aims to determine the potential impact of recent past, present-day and future climate conditions—along with silvicultural interventions—on the “intrinsic Water Use Efficiency” (iWUE). iWUE, defined as the amount of carbon assimilated per unit of water lost through stomata, is a valuable metric that reflects the combined effects of climate change and forest management on carbon and water balance in forest ecosystems. We studied these effects on a European beech ( Fagus sylvatica L.) forest, one of the most common tree species in Europe, in a unique pre-Alpine site in Italy subjected to different silvicultural treatments in the past. Therefore, we analyzed iWUE derived from the δ 13 C measured isotope for the period 2013–2019 under three different silvicultural schemes observed at the study site. Opposite to what was expected, no statistically significant differences were found on iWUE between the treatments (ANOVA: p -value = 0.21) with a mean value for all treatments ranging from 94 μmol mol –1 and 98 μmol mol –1 . To explore future dynamics, we used a validated process-based biogeochemical model to simulate iWUE under two climate scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) and the same three silvicultural treatments. Again, silvicultural practices showed little effect on iWUE, while differences were evident between climate scenarios and time periods. iWUE increased between the first (2019–2029) and last (2040–2050) decades of simulation by 20.9%, 20.5% and 19.5% for the “Control”, “Traditional” and “Innovative” treatments, respectively. In conclusion, in the past and for the next half-decade, silvicultural treatments, at least at the study site, may not influence much the iWUE of beech forests even if it will increase remarkably under climate change.