National and regional Temporal trends and forecasting of preterm birth in brazil: evidence from National birth data (2014–2023) with projections to 2030
PTB rates in Brazil have shown a rising trend over the past decade, with marked regional and social inequalities. Forecasts indicate that these disparities may increase by 2030 unless effective, evidence-based, and context-specific interventions are implemented. These findings highlight the urgent need for targeted public health policies and prenatal care strategies aimed at reducing preventable PTB and promoting maternal and neonatal equity across the country.
Authors
- Audêncio Victor (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8161-3639)
- Sancho Pedro Xavier (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9493-4098)
- Thiago Cerqueira Silva (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4534-2509)
- Ana Raquel Manuel Gotine (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3539-4236)
- Patrícia Helen de Carvalho Rondó (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8308-6393)
- Homègnon Antonin Ferréol Bah (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7326-1821)
- Charles M. Charles (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7133-0574)
- Vládia Teles Moreira
- Alex Monito Nhancololo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8438-2605)
Institutions
- University of London (GB)
- Henry Ford Health System (US)
- Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) (BR)
- Department of Public Health (AS)
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine (GB)
- Institute of Mathematics and Computer Science (MD)
- Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública (BR)
- National Directorate of Geology (MZ)
- Ministry of Health (MZ)
Publication Details
- Journal
- BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth
- Published
- 2025-12-05
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1186/s12884-025-08536-6
- Primary Topic
- Maternal and Neonatal Healthcare
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00