A Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Microphysical Properties of Ice Crystals From Cloud Particle Imagery

Abstract The microphysical properties of ice crystals are important because they significantly alter the radiative properties and spatiotemporal distributions of clouds, which in turn strongly affect Earth's climate. However, it is challenging to measure key properties of ice crystals, such as mass or morphological features. Here, we present a proof‐of‐concept framework for predicting three‐dimensional (3D) microphysical properties of ice crystals from in situ two‐dimensional (2D) imagery. First, we computationally generated synthetic ice crystals using 3D modeling software along with geometric parameters estimated from the 2021 Ice Cryo‐Encapsulation Balloon (ICEBall) field campaign. Then, we used synthetic crystals to train machine learning (ML) models to predict effective density , effective surface area , and number of bullets from synthetic rosette imagery. On unseen synthetic images, our ML models accurately predicted ice crystal properties. ResNet‐18 performed best, achieving values of 0.99 and 0.98 for and , respectively, and MAE of 0.10 for in single view tasks. Stereo view ResNet‐18 further reduced RMSE by 40% for and and reduced MAE by 0.08 for . This work provides a novel ML‐driven framework for estimating ice microphysical properties from in situ imagery, which will allow for downstream constraints on microphysical parameterizations, such as the mass‐size relationship.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2025jh000905
Primary Topic
Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Microphysical Properties of Ice Crystals From Cloud Particle Imagery

Joseph Ko, Kara Sulia, Vanessa Przybylo, Jerry Y. Harrington et al.
Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and Computation
Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
article

A Machine Learning Framework for Predicting Microphysical Properties of Ice Crystals From Cloud Particle Imagery

Joseph Ko, Kara Sulia, Vanessa Przybylo, Jerry Y. Harrington, Kara Diane Lamb, Marcus van Lier‐Walqui
article en

Abstract

Abstract The microphysical properties of ice crystals are important because they significantly alter the radiative properties and spatiotemporal distributions of clouds, which in turn strongly affect Earth's climate. However, it is challenging to measure key properties of ice crystals, such as mass or morphological features. Here, we present a proof‐of‐concept framework for predicting three‐dimensional (3D) microphysical properties of ice crystals from in situ two‐dimensional (2D) imagery. First, we computationally generated synthetic ice crystals using 3D modeling software along with geometric parameters estimated from the 2021 Ice Cryo‐Encapsulation Balloon (ICEBall) field campaign. Then, we used synthetic crystals to train machine learning (ML) models to predict effective density , effective surface area , and number of bullets from synthetic rosette imagery. On unseen synthetic images, our ML models accurately predicted ice crystal properties. ResNet‐18 performed best, achieving values of 0.99 and 0.98 for and , respectively, and MAE of 0.10 for in single view tasks. Stereo view ResNet‐18 further reduced RMSE by 40% for and and reduced MAE by 0.08 for . This work provides a novel ML‐driven framework for estimating ice microphysical properties from in situ imagery, which will allow for downstream constraints on microphysical parameterizations, such as the mass‐size relationship.

Journal of Geophysical Research Machine Learning and ComputationVol. 2(4)
Goddard Institute for Space Studies (US), Pennsylvania State University (US), National Grid (United States) (US), University at Albany, State University of New York (US), Learning Through an Expanded Arts Program (US), Columbia University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Atmospheric aerosols and clouds
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