A Bayesian model with seasonal effects for predicting accrual in clinical trials: Application to HOBIT and BOOST-3 trials for severe traumatic brain injury

Incorporating seasonal effects into accrual modeling can enhance prediction accuracy, particularly in larger trials with high enrollment, and supports more accurate trial forecasting and resource allocation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conctc.2025.101586
Primary Topic
Traumatic Brain Injury and Neurovascular Disturbances
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Bayesian model with seasonal effects for predicting accrual in clinical trials: Application to HOBIT and BOOST-3 trials for severe traumatic brain injury

Byron J. Gajewski, Frederick K. Korley, Mohammod Mahmudur Rahman, Robert Silbergleit et al.
Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications
Traumatic Brain Injury and Neurovascular Disturbances
article

A Bayesian model with seasonal effects for predicting accrual in clinical trials: Application to HOBIT and BOOST-3 trials for severe traumatic brain injury

Byron J. Gajewski, Frederick K. Korley, Mohammod Mahmudur Rahman, Robert Silbergleit, Jonathan Beall, Valerie Stevenson, William G. Barsan, M Saif, Renee Martin, Gaylan L. Rockswold
article en

Abstract

Incorporating seasonal effects into accrual modeling can enhance prediction accuracy, particularly in larger trials with high enrollment, and supports more accurate trial forecasting and resource allocation.

Contemporary Clinical Trials CommunicationsVol. 48
University of Minnesota (US), Medical University of South Carolina (US), University of Michigan (US), Hennepin County Medical Center (US), University of Kansas Medical Center (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 47%
Traumatic Brain Injury and Neurovascular Disturbances
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A Bayesian model with seasonal effects for predicting accrual in clinical trials: Application to HOBIT and BOOST-3 trials for severe traumatic brain injury — Byron J. Gajewski, Frederick K. Korley, et al. · Contemporary Clinical Trials Communications (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS