Estimating excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Aotearoa New Zealand: addendum

In our previous article, we estimated excess mortality during in Aotearoa New Zealand for 2020 to 2023. Since our work was published, updated population estimates have been released by Statistics NZ. In this short letter, we provide the results of applying our original model to the new population data. Our updated excess mortality estimate of 2.0% (95% CI [0.5%, 3.3%]) is 1.3 percentage points higher than our original estimate because the new population estimates for the period 2020 to 2023 are smaller, but the main conclusions of our original article still apply.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Epidemiology
Published
2026-01-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/dyag008
Primary Topic
COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
Type
article
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article

Estimating excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Aotearoa New Zealand: addendum

Pubudu Senanayake, Michael J. Plank, Richard Lyon
International Journal of Epidemiology
COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
article

Estimating excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Aotearoa New Zealand: addendum

Pubudu Senanayake, Michael J. Plank, Richard Lyon
article en

Abstract

In our previous article, we estimated excess mortality during in Aotearoa New Zealand for 2020 to 2023. Since our work was published, updated population estimates have been released by Statistics NZ. In this short letter, we provide the results of applying our original model to the new population data. Our updated excess mortality estimate of 2.0% (95% CI [0.5%, 3.3%]) is 1.3 percentage points higher than our original estimate because the new population estimates for the period 2020 to 2023 are smaller, but the main conclusions of our original article still apply.

International Journal of EpidemiologyVol. 55(1)
Society of Actuaries (US), Statistics New Zealand (NZ), University of Canterbury (NZ), Christ University (IN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 100%
COVID-19 and healthcare impacts
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Estimating excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Aotearoa New Zealand: addendum — Pubudu Senanayake, Michael J. Plank, et al. · International Journal of Epidemiology (2026) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS