Application of deep learning for hourly river level forecast: A case study of Sarawak River, Malaysia

River water levels are influenced by complex and dynamic mechanisms, posing significant challenges for accurate predictions, especially in flood-prone areas. To address this issue and enhance flood forecasting capabilities, this study employed four AI models—LSTM, BiLSTM, CNN-BiLSTM, and CNN-BiLSTM-XGB—to analyze river water level data of the Sarawak River. While the first three models performed well on training and validation sets, their test set results were overfitted, with R2 values failing to reach 0.9. To improve performance, the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model was introduced. This hybrid model effectively captures complex data patterns, accelerates convergence, and enhances training stability and efficiency. Experimental results demonstrated that the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model outperformed others on both validation and test sets, achieving an R2 value of 0.973, a 17.1% improvement over the LSTM model. Extensive simulations confirmed the model’s superior prediction accuracy and robustness. Overall, the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model proved to be a highly effective tool for short-term river level prediction, offering significant potential for improving flood forecasting and water resource management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
AIP Advances
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0303012
Primary Topic
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Application of deep learning for hourly river level forecast: A case study of Sarawak River, Malaysia

Jianjun Pan, H. C. Zhou, Y. Chen, Guoping Li et al.
AIP Advances
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
article

Application of deep learning for hourly river level forecast: A case study of Sarawak River, Malaysia

Jianjun Pan, H. C. Zhou, Y. Chen, Guoping Li, Wendong Gong, Ying Nie
article en

Abstract

River water levels are influenced by complex and dynamic mechanisms, posing significant challenges for accurate predictions, especially in flood-prone areas. To address this issue and enhance flood forecasting capabilities, this study employed four AI models—LSTM, BiLSTM, CNN-BiLSTM, and CNN-BiLSTM-XGB—to analyze river water level data of the Sarawak River. While the first three models performed well on training and validation sets, their test set results were overfitted, with R2 values failing to reach 0.9. To improve performance, the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model was introduced. This hybrid model effectively captures complex data patterns, accelerates convergence, and enhances training stability and efficiency. Experimental results demonstrated that the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model outperformed others on both validation and test sets, achieving an R2 value of 0.973, a 17.1% improvement over the LSTM model. Extensive simulations confirmed the model’s superior prediction accuracy and robustness. Overall, the CNN-BiLSTM-XGB model proved to be a highly effective tool for short-term river level prediction, offering significant potential for improving flood forecasting and water resource management strategies.

AIP AdvancesVol. 15(12)
Dongguan University of Technology (CN), Shandong Museum (CN), Guangdong Institute of Intelligent Manufacturing (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 63%
Hydrological Forecasting Using AI
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Application of deep learning for hourly river level forecast: A case study of Sarawak River, Malaysia — Jianjun Pan, H. C. Zhou, et al. · AIP Advances (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS