Short-Term Mortality Trends in Cardiovascular and Cerebrovascular Diseases Among Adults (45 and Older) in Mississippi, 2018–2022

Background/Objectives: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cerebrovascular disease (CeVD) remain leading causes of death in the United States, with Mississippi consistently reporting some of the nation’s highest mortality rates. Despite earlier national declines, recent evidence suggests stagnation or increases, particularly in high-burden regions. This study examined short-term trends in CVD and CeVD mortality in Mississippi between 2018 and 2022, stratified by age, sex, and race. Methods: Mortality data for adults aged ≥45 years were obtained from the Mississippi Statistically Automated Health Resource System (MSTAHRS). Age-adjusted mortality rates were calculated per 100,000 population and standardized to the 2000 U.S. population. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Analyses were stratified by sex, and within each racial group (White, Black, Other), mortality trends were further examined across age categories (45–54, 55–64, 65–74, 75–84, ≥85 years). Results: Cardiovascular mortality increased significantly among White women in midlife (ages 45–74), while “Other race” men in early midlife and “Other race” women in the oldest age group showed steep increases. Although Black adults did not experience significant changes over time, their mortality rates remained consistently higher than those of White adults. Conclusions: Progress in reducing cardiovascular and cerebrovascular mortality in Mississippi has reversed in several subgroups, particularly midlife White women and smaller racial populations. These findings mirror national stagnation and pandemic-related disruptions, highlighting the urgent need for equity-focused prevention, improved healthcare access, and targeted interventions addressing structural determinants of health.