Two Decades of Community Responses Reveal a Consistent Increase in Species Occurrences in South‐Eastern Pacific Rocky Shores

ABSTRACT Aim Understanding how diverse communities respond to environmental fluctuations is a central challenge in ecology. Here, we assessed how communities responded to environmental variation over the past 23 years and evaluated the extent to which these responses can be associated with taxonomic relationships, as well as biological and ecological species traits. Location Central portion of the Humboldt Upwelling Ecosystem, with 22 rocky shore survey sites spanning 8° of latitude (28° S–36° S). Time Period 2000–2023. Major Taxa Studied Intertidal zone communities. Methods We used joint species distribution models to integrate quantitative survey data, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) as a proxy for environmental conditions, taxonomic information and species biological traits along a latitudinal gradient with heterogeneous thermal conditions. Results Our proxy for environmental variation revealed weak and non‐significant SST cooling at central sites, whereas sites near 30° S showed slight warming trends. Taxonomic relationships and individual species traits were weakly associated with their collective responses to SST variability. However, we identified a consistent increase in the occurrence of both macroalgal and invertebrate species across the region. The occurrence of macroalgal species was more sensitive to SST variation than invertebrates, with responses shifting from positive at equatorward sites to increasingly negative at poleward sites. Patterns of species co‐occurrence were strongly dependent on spatial scale, particularly among invertebrates. Main Conclusions Species occurrences increased across the region, but these responses were not significantly associated with taxonomic relatedness or with easily assigned species traits. This pattern likely indicates comparatively low niche conservatism within these communities in relation to SST responses, while other structuring processes—such as species interactions—are not well captured by the traits examined. As other studies have detected slight cooling trends over the past two decades, our results suggest that the lack of community‐wide reorganisation reflects the absence of a clear environmental driver.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Global Ecology and Biogeography
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.70176
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.84
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Two Decades of Community Responses Reveal a Consistent Increase in Species Occurrences in South‐Eastern Pacific Rocky Shores

Sérgio A. Navarrete, Otso Ovaskainen, Mauricio H. Oróstica, Bernardo R. Broitman et al.
1 citations
Global Ecology and Biogeography
Species Distribution and Climate Change
1.84
article

Two Decades of Community Responses Reveal a Consistent Increase in Species Occurrences in South‐Eastern Pacific Rocky Shores

Sérgio A. Navarrete, Otso Ovaskainen, Mauricio H. Oróstica, Bernardo R. Broitman, Paulina A. Arancibia
article en
1 citations

Abstract

ABSTRACT Aim Understanding how diverse communities respond to environmental fluctuations is a central challenge in ecology. Here, we assessed how communities responded to environmental variation over the past 23 years and evaluated the extent to which these responses can be associated with taxonomic relationships, as well as biological and ecological species traits. Location Central portion of the Humboldt Upwelling Ecosystem, with 22 rocky shore survey sites spanning 8° of latitude (28° S–36° S). Time Period 2000–2023. Major Taxa Studied Intertidal zone communities. Methods We used joint species distribution models to integrate quantitative survey data, satellite sea surface temperature (SST) as a proxy for environmental conditions, taxonomic information and species biological traits along a latitudinal gradient with heterogeneous thermal conditions. Results Our proxy for environmental variation revealed weak and non‐significant SST cooling at central sites, whereas sites near 30° S showed slight warming trends. Taxonomic relationships and individual species traits were weakly associated with their collective responses to SST variability. However, we identified a consistent increase in the occurrence of both macroalgal and invertebrate species across the region. The occurrence of macroalgal species was more sensitive to SST variation than invertebrates, with responses shifting from positive at equatorward sites to increasingly negative at poleward sites. Patterns of species co‐occurrence were strongly dependent on spatial scale, particularly among invertebrates. Main Conclusions Species occurrences increased across the region, but these responses were not significantly associated with taxonomic relatedness or with easily assigned species traits. This pattern likely indicates comparatively low niche conservatism within these communities in relation to SST responses, while other structuring processes—such as species interactions—are not well captured by the traits examined. As other studies have detected slight cooling trends over the past two decades, our results suggest that the lack of community‐wide reorganisation reflects the absence of a clear environmental driver.

Global Ecology and BiogeographyVol. 34(12)
University of Helsinki (FI), Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (CL), University of Concepción (CL), Adolfo Ibáñez University (CL), Catholic University of the Maule (CL), Instituto Profesional Escuela De Contadores Auditores De Santiago (CL), University of Jyväskylä (FI)
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
1.84
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.