Bayes factor hypothesis testing in meta-analyses: Practical advantages and methodological considerations
Abstract Bayesian hypothesis testing via Bayes factors offers a principled alternative to classical p -value methods in meta-analysis, particularly suited to its cumulative and sequential nature. Unlike p -values, Bayes factors allow for quantifying support both for and against the existence of an effect, facilitate ongoing evidence monitoring, and maintain coherent long-run behavior as additional studies are incorporated. Recent theoretical developments further show how Bayes factors can flexibly control Type I error rates through connections to e-value theory. Despite these advantages, their use remains limited in the meta-analytic literature. This article provides a critical overview of their theoretical properties, methodological considerations—such as prior sensitivity—and practical advantages for evidence synthesis. Two illustrative applications are provided: one on statistical learning in individuals with language impairments, and another on seroma incidence following post-operative exercise in breast cancer patients. New tools supporting these methods are available in the open-source R package BFpack.
Authors
- Robbie C. M. van Aert (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6187-0665)
- Joris Mulder (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7007-3086)
Institutions
- Tilburg University (NL)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Research Synthesis Methods
- Published
- 2025-12-04
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1017/rsm.2025.10060
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Meta-analysis and systematic reviews
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.40