A Novel Forecasting Method Based on Markov‐Weighted Fuzzy Logical Relationships and F‐Transform

ABSTRACT This paper presents a novel time series forecasting method based on Markov‐weighted fuzzy logical relationships and the F‐transform. The proposed methodology comprises nine steps, ranging from data preprocessing to result evaluation, ensuring a systematic approach. It is validated using historical university enrolment data, and its performance is compared against seven benchmark methods. Experimental results highlight the method's superior predictive capabilities, demonstrating lower prediction errors, higher accuracy and an improved overall fit to the data.

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Journal
Stat
Published
2025-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/sta4.70127
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Novel Forecasting Method Based on Markov‐Weighted Fuzzy Logical Relationships and F‐Transform

Ronald Manríquez, Cristian M. Carvajal, Eduardo Cabrera
Stat
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

A Novel Forecasting Method Based on Markov‐Weighted Fuzzy Logical Relationships and F‐Transform

Ronald Manríquez, Cristian M. Carvajal, Eduardo Cabrera
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This paper presents a novel time series forecasting method based on Markov‐weighted fuzzy logical relationships and the F‐transform. The proposed methodology comprises nine steps, ranging from data preprocessing to result evaluation, ensuring a systematic approach. It is validated using historical university enrolment data, and its performance is compared against seven benchmark methods. Experimental results highlight the method's superior predictive capabilities, demonstrating lower prediction errors, higher accuracy and an improved overall fit to the data.

StatVol. 14(4)
Universidad de Playa Ancha de Ciencias de la Educación (CL)
Openalex Percentile: Top 56%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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