Merging Deep Learning Neural Networks with the Stochastic Parameterized Expectations Algorithm for Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

This paper proposes a novel framework that integrates Deep Learning Neural Networks into the Stochastic Parameterized Expectations Algorithm (DLNN-PEA) to solve nonlinear rational expectations models. This method enhances traditional PEA-based solvers by employing a deep neural expectations operator that captures complex nonlinearities and asymmetries. The DLNN-PEA is implemented in Matlab R2024b. It combines deep learning approximation with the standard expectation-iteration structure of the PEA, replacing the conventional shallow ANN-based operator with a deeper architecture that improves both accuracy and stability. The methodology is applied to the stochastic Neoclassical Growth Model, where the DLNN-PEA is trained to approximate conditional expectations and decision rules under uncertainty. The results show rapid convergence, reduced boundary-related issues, and stable performance even in high-volatility environments. Compared with ANN-PEA, deep architectures exhibit greater robustness and adaptability, making them suitable for economic models characterized by stronger nonlinearities and richer state dynamics. Beyond the benchmark model, the proposed framework is well-suited for medium-scale DSGE models, nonlinear monetary policy environments, and macro-financial simulations involving high-dimensional state spaces. These features make DLNN-PEA a practical tool for applied macroeconomic analysis and model-based policy evaluation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electronics
Published
2025-11-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14234712
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Merging Deep Learning Neural Networks with the Stochastic Parameterized Expectations Algorithm for Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

Mircea Constantin Șcheau, Leonardo Badea, Alexie Alupoaiei, Iulian Panait et al.
Electronics
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Merging Deep Learning Neural Networks with the Stochastic Parameterized Expectations Algorithm for Solving Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

Mircea Constantin Șcheau, Leonardo Badea, Alexie Alupoaiei, Iulian Panait, Valentin Radu
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a novel framework that integrates Deep Learning Neural Networks into the Stochastic Parameterized Expectations Algorithm (DLNN-PEA) to solve nonlinear rational expectations models. This method enhances traditional PEA-based solvers by employing a deep neural expectations operator that captures complex nonlinearities and asymmetries. The DLNN-PEA is implemented in Matlab R2024b. It combines deep learning approximation with the standard expectation-iteration structure of the PEA, replacing the conventional shallow ANN-based operator with a deeper architecture that improves both accuracy and stability. The methodology is applied to the stochastic Neoclassical Growth Model, where the DLNN-PEA is trained to approximate conditional expectations and decision rules under uncertainty. The results show rapid convergence, reduced boundary-related issues, and stable performance even in high-volatility environments. Compared with ANN-PEA, deep architectures exhibit greater robustness and adaptability, making them suitable for economic models characterized by stronger nonlinearities and richer state dynamics. Beyond the benchmark model, the proposed framework is well-suited for medium-scale DSGE models, nonlinear monetary policy environments, and macro-financial simulations involving high-dimensional state spaces. These features make DLNN-PEA a practical tool for applied macroeconomic analysis and model-based policy evaluation.

ElectronicsVol. 14(23)
Babeș-Bolyai University (RO), Valahia University of Targoviste (RO), National Bank of Romania (RO), Bucharest University of Economic Studies (RO), University of Craiova (RO)
Openalex Percentile: Top 57%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
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