Decadal- and Annual-Scale Interactions Between the North Atlantic Oscillation and Precipitation over Northern Algeria: Identifying Suitable Wavelet Families for Nonlinear Analysis

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) represents the dominant atmospheric mode governing climate variability across the Northern Hemisphere, particularly influencing precipitation regimes in regions such as northern Algeria. This study investigates the nonlinear linkage between monthly NAO indices and rainfall over northern Algeria for the period 1970–2009 using a cross-multiresolution analysis framework based on seven wavelet families—Daubechies, Biorthogonal, Reverse Biorthogonal, Discrete Meyer, Symlets, Coiflets, and Fejer–Korovkin—comprising a total of 106 individual mother wavelets. More than 700 cross-correlations were computed per NAO–rainfall pair to identify wavelet families that yield stable and physically coherent teleconnection structures across seven decomposition scales (D1–A7). The maximum decomposition level (27 = 128 months, ≈10.6 years) captures intra-annual to decadal variability without extending into multidecadal regimes, ensuring temporal representativeness relative to the 40-year record length. The results reveal that short-term scales (D1–D3) are dominated by noise, masking weak correlations (≤±0.20), while stronger and more coherent relationships emerge at longer scales, reaching ±0.4 at the annual and ±0.75 at the decadal bands. These findings confirm the pronounced influence of low-frequency NAO variability on regional precipitation. Unlike previous studies limited to a few Daubechies wavelets, this work systematically compares 106 wavelet forms and evaluates robustness through reproducibility across scales, consistency among wavelet families, and physical coherence with known NAO periodicities (2–4 and 8–12 years). By emphasizing stability and physical plausibility over statistical significance alone, this approach minimizes the risk of spurious correlations due to multiple testing and highlights genuine scale-dependent teleconnection patterns. The application of discrete wavelet transforms thus enhances signal clarity, isolates meaningful oscillations, and provides a robust diagnostic framework for understanding NAO–rainfall dynamics in northern Algeria.

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Publication Details

Journal
Atmosphere
Published
2025-12-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16121373
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Decadal- and Annual-Scale Interactions Between the North Atlantic Oscillation and Precipitation over Northern Algeria: Identifying Suitable Wavelet Families for Nonlinear Analysis

Neyara Radwan, Zaki Abda, Bilel Zeroualı, Mohamed Chettih et al.
Atmosphere
Climate variability and models
article

Decadal- and Annual-Scale Interactions Between the North Atlantic Oscillation and Precipitation over Northern Algeria: Identifying Suitable Wavelet Families for Nonlinear Analysis

Neyara Radwan, Zaki Abda, Bilel Zeroualı, Mohamed Chettih, Youssef M. Youssef, Nadjem Bailek, Mohamed Saber, Wafa Saleh Alkhuraiji
article en

Abstract

The North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) represents the dominant atmospheric mode governing climate variability across the Northern Hemisphere, particularly influencing precipitation regimes in regions such as northern Algeria. This study investigates the nonlinear linkage between monthly NAO indices and rainfall over northern Algeria for the period 1970–2009 using a cross-multiresolution analysis framework based on seven wavelet families—Daubechies, Biorthogonal, Reverse Biorthogonal, Discrete Meyer, Symlets, Coiflets, and Fejer–Korovkin—comprising a total of 106 individual mother wavelets. More than 700 cross-correlations were computed per NAO–rainfall pair to identify wavelet families that yield stable and physically coherent teleconnection structures across seven decomposition scales (D1–A7). The maximum decomposition level (27 = 128 months, ≈10.6 years) captures intra-annual to decadal variability without extending into multidecadal regimes, ensuring temporal representativeness relative to the 40-year record length. The results reveal that short-term scales (D1–D3) are dominated by noise, masking weak correlations (≤±0.20), while stronger and more coherent relationships emerge at longer scales, reaching ±0.4 at the annual and ±0.75 at the decadal bands. These findings confirm the pronounced influence of low-frequency NAO variability on regional precipitation. Unlike previous studies limited to a few Daubechies wavelets, this work systematically compares 106 wavelet forms and evaluates robustness through reproducibility across scales, consistency among wavelet families, and physical coherence with known NAO periodicities (2–4 and 8–12 years). By emphasizing stability and physical plausibility over statistical significance alone, this approach minimizes the risk of spurious correlations due to multiple testing and highlights genuine scale-dependent teleconnection patterns. The application of discrete wavelet transforms thus enhances signal clarity, isolates meaningful oscillations, and provides a robust diagnostic framework for understanding NAO–rainfall dynamics in northern Algeria.

AtmosphereVol. 16(12)
Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University (SA), Suez Canal University (EG), Abu Dhabi University (AE), Suez University (EG), Universidade Federal da Paraíba (BR), Ahmed Draia University (DZ), Kyoto University (JP), University of Guelma (DZ), Hassiba Benbouali University of Chlef (DZ), Amar Telidji University of Laghouat (DZ), University of South Alabama (US)
Princess Nourah Bint Abdulrahman University
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Climate variability and models
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