Impact of Joint Assimilating AWS and Radar Observations on the Analysis and Forecast of a Squall Line with Complex Terrain

Based on the WRF-3DVar system, this study investigates the impacts of assimilating radar and automatic weather station (AWS) observations, both independently and jointly, for a squall line case that occurred over complex terrain in China on 30 May 2024. It is found that radar data assimilation with spatial truncation significantly enhances the representation of convective structures while reducing false echoes by about 40%. However, when the variance and correlation length scales are enlarged, reflectivity intensity is increased by 5–10 dBZ with false signals and positional errors also introduced, while a balanced scheme is observed to yield the highest skill scores. Assimilation of AWS alone provides limited improvements, whereas radar assimilation introduces localized structures that rapidly decay within 1–2 h due to the absence of boundary-layer constraints. The benefits of joint assimilation are clearly demonstrated in terms of spatial continuity and vertical consistency, with the assimilation order being identified as a decisive factor. When AWS is assimilated prior to radar, low-level thermodynamic and dynamic conditions are optimized, leading to strengthened cold pool structures by around 2 K, enhanced updrafts by over 20%, and improved wind distribution. The critical role of AWS-radar joint assimilation in capturing the dynamical characteristics of squall lines is thus highlighted. Detailed examination of the forecast and analysis indicates that assimilating AWS before radar not only optimizes boundary-layer conditions but also enhances the coupling between cold pools and updrafts, resulting in improved simulation accuracy in both horizontal and vertical structures. These findings provide valuable insights for advancing the prediction of severe convective systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Remote Sensing
Published
2025-11-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/rs17233860
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
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article

Impact of Joint Assimilating AWS and Radar Observations on the Analysis and Forecast of a Squall Line with Complex Terrain

Zhixin He, Ruonan Zhao, Cong Li, Dongmei Xu
Remote Sensing
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Impact of Joint Assimilating AWS and Radar Observations on the Analysis and Forecast of a Squall Line with Complex Terrain

Zhixin He, Ruonan Zhao, Cong Li, Dongmei Xu
article en

Abstract

Based on the WRF-3DVar system, this study investigates the impacts of assimilating radar and automatic weather station (AWS) observations, both independently and jointly, for a squall line case that occurred over complex terrain in China on 30 May 2024. It is found that radar data assimilation with spatial truncation significantly enhances the representation of convective structures while reducing false echoes by about 40%. However, when the variance and correlation length scales are enlarged, reflectivity intensity is increased by 5–10 dBZ with false signals and positional errors also introduced, while a balanced scheme is observed to yield the highest skill scores. Assimilation of AWS alone provides limited improvements, whereas radar assimilation introduces localized structures that rapidly decay within 1–2 h due to the absence of boundary-layer constraints. The benefits of joint assimilation are clearly demonstrated in terms of spatial continuity and vertical consistency, with the assimilation order being identified as a decisive factor. When AWS is assimilated prior to radar, low-level thermodynamic and dynamic conditions are optimized, leading to strengthened cold pool structures by around 2 K, enhanced updrafts by over 20%, and improved wind distribution. The critical role of AWS-radar joint assimilation in capturing the dynamical characteristics of squall lines is thus highlighted. Detailed examination of the forecast and analysis indicates that assimilating AWS before radar not only optimizes boundary-layer conditions but also enhances the coupling between cold pools and updrafts, resulting in improved simulation accuracy in both horizontal and vertical structures. These findings provide valuable insights for advancing the prediction of severe convective systems.

Remote SensingVol. 17(23)
Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (CN), Jiangsu Provincial Meteorological Bureau (CN), Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CN), Anhui Provincial Meteorological Bureau (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 58%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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